TaXxER t1_j22xwb0 wrote
Reply to comment by [deleted] in Germany shrugs off Russia’s oil export ban, says move has ‘no practical significance’. by Marciu73
Jumping from one baseless claim to the next I see.
German industrial output is up this year, not down. Factories are open full week. There was some panic early on in spring/summer when it was unclear whether Germany would be able to prepare for a winter without Russian gas.
Current forecasts show that Germany will get through winter just fine without rationing.
> You will have the problem that LNG is much more expensive than normal natural gas.
It’s true that LNG is more expensive. But that is not a problem.
[deleted] t1_j22yl13 wrote
[removed]
TaXxER t1_j22znrf wrote
No it won’t. Forecasts clearly show that.
See here the optimistic and pessimistic scenarios of gas storage levels throughout winter that the German government modelled earlier this year in preparation for the winter. These scenarios are in the case of no rationing.
In the pessimistic scenario Germany would have run out of gas by the end of April. In the optimistic scenario Germany would even have still 70% gas left in storage at end of winter.
Current trend until end of December is more positive than even the most optimistic scenario.
See the graph here with the title “Reicht das Gas?”
https://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/energiemonitor-deutschland-gaspreis-spritpreis-energieversorgung
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