autotldr t1_j6ody44 wrote
This is the best tl;dr I could make, original reduced by 73%. (I'm a bot)
> Boris Grozovski, a Russian economics expert from the Wilson Center think tank, told Newsweek the most interesting aspect of the IMF forecast was its estimate of 0.3 percent GDP growth for Russia this year, compared with Moscow's prediction of a 0.8 percent decline.
> "It seems to me that it is impossible to give a clear forecast for 2023 for now, but the decline of the economy by 1 to 2 percent, given the possible continuation of mobilization in Russia, seems more likely than economic growth."
> Ben May, director of global macro research at Oxford Economics, told Newsweek that the war in Ukraine, commodity prices and sanctions "Are going to be especially crucial" in determining Russia's baseline GDP forecast over the next two years.
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