CoversJLo
CoversJLo OP t1_j6ykwmv wrote
Reply to comment by AnotherDrunkCanadian in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
If it came down to my money riding on an Octopus vs. some other animal picking the winner, I'm ride-or-die Octopus.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6ykich wrote
Reply to comment by Agreeable_Pomelo_542 in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
Depends on those injured KC players. If we get some positive updates, then this could go to pick'em. I think there are plenty of public players who would jump on Mahomes & Co. as underdogs too. When the odds opened and the move went to Eagles -2.5, I said this could very well come back and close KC -1. It was the lookahead line before championship games and many books opened SBLVII with KC as big as -1.5.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6yk1g3 wrote
Reply to comment by GoalNo5817 in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
Kelce, especially if the KC WRs are thin. He could score a TD or two and that's MVP material. He's out there 13/1 at some books, which is good when compared to odds of +850 elsewhere.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6yjj0r wrote
Reply to comment by Flynty4 in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
The WR injuries for KC could impact the Chiefs game plan. Andy Reid was optimistic JuJu could be back at practice once they return. They may not be able to stretch the field if they're missing some deep threats.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6yj7nm wrote
Reply to comment by BrentAndrews79 in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
61.5 is a good number for Smith Over, as he's out there as big as 65.5. Sneed's health is big for this one. Concussions are tough to gauge his recovery.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6yilgy wrote
Reply to comment by JaMo8600 in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
Die instantly or eventually?
I think my max at one time was 3, and I heard angels afterwards. I think it was angels. Could have been my gut crying.
It's the best deal in the world and I have a weakness for the dollar HDs.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6yiaef wrote
Reply to comment by reddit455 in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
Nope. You could have gotten the Eagles around +4,000 to win the Super Bowl before the start of the season, while Chiefs were +750 range. Now the Super Bowl moneyline is Eagles -125/Chiefs +105.
As for the silly bets you can make on the Super Bowl circus, I know some offshore operators will allow wagering on commercials. Like, which one will air first: Bud Light or Doritos. Wild stuff.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6yhjtz wrote
Reply to comment by DrJawn in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
Same thing they've done all year: get out to an early lead. Philly has been so good out of the blocks and in first halves, that opponents have to abandon their playbook and go pass-heavy to catch up. The Eagles' run game then chokes them out in the 2H, grinding out first downs on the ground and eating up the clock/possession. When KC does have the ball, you've got to protect against any deeper passes and limit Mahomes to short/intermediate throws and get good pressure with the front four, which Philly has done all year. Easier said than done however.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6ygi5d wrote
Reply to comment by AnotherDrunkCanadian in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
If we're talking the Octopus that picks games, I don't know if I can compete with that thing. They're crazy smart and can fit themselves into a pickle jar. I have a hard time getting into most cars.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6yfw3n wrote
Reply to comment by NHL_SUCKS_HARD in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
The Bolts made the right move in dumping Lombardi and as a Cowboys fans, Kellen Moore comes with some positives as an OC. He should have Herbert slinging it all over the place. You guys just gotta stay healthy and hope Mahomes gets bored. GL!
CoversJLo OP t1_j6yfmwm wrote
Reply to comment by AnotherDrunkCanadian in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
Are we talking about Octopus props (player scores TD/2pt) or that famous Octopus that predicted the Super Bowl winner?
CoversJLo OP t1_j6yffdz wrote
Reply to comment by PeanutSalsa in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
The quick version of this is a legal book would be licensed, regulated and monitored under a gaming control board (state by state) in a state that allows for sports betting. An illegal book wouldn't be licensed and fall under those regulations or would be operating/taking money in a state that doesn't allow for betting. These illegal books are usually operated outside of the country's borders, like offshore. We have a great industry news page on Covers that gets into all the ins and outs of this.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6yeqo4 wrote
Reply to comment by HarlemHeat721 in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
Betting too much and on too much. Just because it's a big game doesn't mean you need to bet big. Always risk what you're comfortable losing and narrow down your wagers to the ones you feel best about.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6yej5u wrote
Reply to comment by CoversMike in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
I didn't take KC live ML against the Niners a few years back. You knew they were coming back and outscored them 21-0 in the 4Q. I was dumb not to jump on the in-game odds.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6ye2fs wrote
Reply to comment by ColinMac0 in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
I always toss something on water/clear, because I know there will be a jug of water on the sideline. It used to come up a lot, but you've got to think Gatorade has some deal in place now. So team colors would be live (Red/Green). Water is out there at 5/1.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6ydtka wrote
Reply to comment by CoversJLo in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
Given the injuries to the other KC WRs, his receptions and yardage props aren't live yet. I will be looking at his Overs if some WRs sit out.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6ydn5z wrote
Reply to comment by GoalNo5817 in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
Skyy Moore is one that could be really good - or really bad. We've seen him struggle with fumbles this year but his speed could break off a big one, either on special teams or receiving.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6ydcjf wrote
Reply to comment by CoversJLo in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
I got it at +140 when it opened and I think it closed -120 at an online book.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6ycxk7 wrote
Reply to comment by BrentAndrews79 in I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
Sorry, I read "comfortable". Memorable would be taking Timberlake to cover a Prince Song at the Super Bowl in Minnesota a few years back. He played "I would die for you" which was awesome. Big Prince fan.
CoversJLo OP t1_j6yn7w5 wrote
Reply to I am Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst and Professional Sports Bettor, AMA about the Super Bowl by CoversJLo
Thanks so much for those that tossed questions at me. If anyone has any further questions on Super Bowl betting or my insights you can reach me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/CoversJLo
Good luck betting the Big Game.