Perunov
Perunov t1_ivdwn50 wrote
Reply to Examining 100,000 crime-related posts from 14,000 Facebook pages maintained by U.S. law enforcement agencies between 2010 and 2019, researchers found that Facebook users are exposed to posts that overrepresent Black suspects by 25% relative to local arrest rates by giuliomagnifico
Wait, so crimes that were reported but didn't result in any arrest would automatically "over-report" because they're comparing different stats? Or did I misunderstand something?
Part 1 along with murder include burglary, assault and robbery. Robbery's resolve rate in 2020 is what, around 30 percent? Larceny is 17%? So if you throw in those rates together you already can't compare rates of "reported" to "arrest made", and I can't find any mentions of trying to correct for this (I don't even know if you can automatically control this without manual mapping of reports).
Perunov t1_ivdzmta wrote
Reply to comment by Yes_hes_that_guy in Examining 100,000 crime-related posts from 14,000 Facebook pages maintained by U.S. law enforcement agencies between 2010 and 2019, researchers found that Facebook users are exposed to posts that overrepresent Black suspects by 25% relative to local arrest rates by giuliomagnifico
It does not seem to be.
Quote (emphasis mine): > we identify nearly 100,000 posts that report on the race of individuals suspected of or arrested for crimes
So "suspected" is included in addition to arrests. If someone is suspected but arrest is never made, the initial "suspect" post will be counted but it won't result in matching "arrest" record for ethnic counts. Or are they misrepresenting the methodology?
It would be more useful to just compare reported arrest with actual arrest records and see how large the variation is, but then they also mention how unreliable some agencies' reporting on ethnicity is.