Not really a unique opinion but I’m throwing out my timeline.
2023/2024 - AI video and music synthesis reach the capabilities of current image generators. AI chatbots are good enough to pass for actual human interaction. They’ll be used for educative and social purposes.
2025/2026 - The first proto-AGI will emerge around this time. Media synthesis has revolutionized culture and entertainment.
2027-2030 - AGIs are everywhere and take over management of human society, even if governments/corporations claim otherwise. Full dive VR should be maturing around this time.
Pooker100 t1_ixatba4 wrote
Reply to How much time until it happens? by CookiesDeathCookies
Not really a unique opinion but I’m throwing out my timeline.
2023/2024 - AI video and music synthesis reach the capabilities of current image generators. AI chatbots are good enough to pass for actual human interaction. They’ll be used for educative and social purposes.
2025/2026 - The first proto-AGI will emerge around this time. Media synthesis has revolutionized culture and entertainment.
2027-2030 - AGIs are everywhere and take over management of human society, even if governments/corporations claim otherwise. Full dive VR should be maturing around this time.
2036 (at the latest) - The singularity