While I definitely think AGI can exist, I wouldn't say it's proven yet, being that we don't have one. But if AGI can exist, I don't see anything that'd indicate it would stop there. What's your reasoning for thinking ASI might not be able to exist?

You can tune it to another data set and probably get good results, but you have to have a nice, high quality data set to work with.

Language models seem to be a way steeper difficulty curve though. The difference between Stable Diffusion and image generators from like a few years before it is big, but the older models are still good enough to often produce viable output. But the difference between a huge language model and a large open-source one is a way bigger gap, because even getting small things wrong can lead to completely unintelligible sentences that were clearly written by a machine.

The catch is that it only outperforms large models in a narrow domain of study. It's not a general purpose tool like the really large models. That's still impressive though.

It's inevitable but I still don't like it and I don't think I ever will, honestly.

Also I don't believe it will be fully controlled by the end user. We've been heading in the direction of less and less control over our own electronics for a long time now and I don't see why that trend would stop, given that it's clearly more profitable and most people don't mind giving up the control. Especially given that you can't just get rid of your own brain implant in the same way that you can install a new OS on a computer or toss it in the trash if you really hate it.

Yeah, but not being able to avoid interfacing with the tech, even if I'm not forced at gunpoint to get it, I still find that unpalatable. If he wasn't the one behind it, I'd still dislike it exactly as much.

I feel the same way about the rise of smart phones and about the sudden popularity of cloud-enabled front door security cameras. Even without participating, there's a you-shaped hole missing from the surveillance state and you're implicitly tracked through that.

As for how external devices are less invasive, they're less invasive because I can disable them, walk away from them, turn them off. Something stuck inside my head and directly interfacing with my brain is way more invasive.

Tesla I'm back and forth on. It's impressive and I wish them well but ultimately I think the major car manufacturers are doing a better job than he is and that Tesla is overvalued.

Neuralink and any company that wants to implant devices in people is an immediate no from me. It's a horrifying privacy nightmare.

OpenAI is really cool. I actually use it on this account to generate advice in /r/needadvice. Check my post history haha. Overall I like them as a company but I'm very disappointed they went closed-source in spite of open literally being in the name. With that being said though, their newer models are impossible to run on consumer grade hardware anyway so I'd be paying somebody API usage fees and so I don't mind that it's them.

I don't like most of Musk's ventures but I'm beyond psyched for Starlink. Having lived on the road before, it's really hard to get good internet in a lot of places. I'd love to see shitty regional ISPs get shredded to bits.

GPT-2 XL is 1.5 billion parameters. Unless they added some very computationally expensive change to this new model that's unrelated to the parameter count, this could definitely run on consumer hardware. Very very cool!

A very scary and recent story: "Google flags man as sex abuser after he sends photos of child to doctor"

Even after getting everything sorted out with the police, he still got locked out of his Google account forever.