burnt_umber_ciera

burnt_umber_ciera t1_jefej76 wrote

Reply to comment by Frumpagumpus in AGI Ruin: A List of Lethalities by Eliezer Yudkowsky -- "We need to get alignment right on the first critical try" by Unfrozen__Caveman

I guess we just disagree then. There are so many examples of intelligence not correlating with ethics that I could go on ad infinitum. Wall Street has some of the most intelligent actors yet have been involved in multiple scams over the years.

Enron is what I meant and I don’t agree with your characterization.

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burnt_umber_ciera t1_jeez28w wrote

Reply to comment by Frumpagumpus in AGI Ruin: A List of Lethalities by Eliezer Yudkowsky -- "We need to get alignment right on the first critical try" by Unfrozen__Caveman

Empathy and ethics definitely do not scale with intelligence. There are so many examples of this in humanity. For example, Enron, smartest in the room - absolute sociopaths.

Just look at how often sociopathy is rewarded in every world system. Many times the ruthless, who are also obviously cunning, rise. Like Putin for example. He’s highly intelligent but a complete sociopath.

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burnt_umber_ciera t1_j7w0ki0 wrote

Reply to comment by FattThor in Generative AI comes to User Interface design! This is crazy. by RegularConstant

Sure, I’m extrapolating and using my knowledge of economics, business, AI, human psychology, etc. It’s a hypothesis based on the universe of facts that I believe relevant. It’s not an assumption out of thin air. It’s possible I’m wrong I will grant that.

However, I was taking issue with a post that seemed to think it was highly unlikely that UBI would be necessary in 2-3 years and the reasoning presented for that conclusion. I think it is certainly within a reasonable degree of probability that many jobs will in fact be displaced faster than others being created elsewhere and that could occur in 2-3 years.

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burnt_umber_ciera t1_j7vnvsl wrote

Reply to comment by SurroundSwimming3494 in Generative AI comes to User Interface design! This is crazy. by RegularConstant

Your response to UBI is necessary in 2-3 years is to say look at the current employment rate? This doesn’t address at all that we are in the slope of the exponential curve now. Just look how fast GPT is being incorporated into MSFT. Even if you assume that process started with GPT-3 in 2020 we are basically 2-3 years out from that. These advances are only accelerating and being adopted at an ever increasing pace. I would be very surprised if large segments of the workforce were not displaced by AI by 2025.

This forum generates a lot of this discussion because it has attracted people who have thought a lot about this topic and see where it’s headed and how quickly.

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