Different from other gifs I've seen, very original!

Really nice. I love those vibrant colors, and that lens flare is cool.

You asked for an example of a question that can't be answered by next-word prediction.

That's a red herring, because your ability to generate text without being prompted proves that you don't just predict strings of characters in response to prompts. But I'll be a good sport. I could ask you any personal question that has a unique answer of which you have perfect knowledge: What's your mother's maiden name? What's your checking account number? Etc.

Any example of a human reflecting is an example of something ChatGPT can't do, because all it can do is predict what word comes next based on its training data and the prompt you give it.

Nope, that's just its prediction of what string of characters corresponds to your prompt.

I'm glad to hear it! Hanson's perspective is very well-reasoned and does not make the kinds of speculative leaps that drive a lot of the forecasting about AGI.

Interesting note: Hanson came up with the Great Filter hypothesis about the Fermi Problem.

Well, you could let Robin Hanson throw some cold water on short timelines and then take it from there: https://futureoflife.org/podcast/robin-hanson-on-predicting-the-future-of-artificial-intelligence/