As far as I understand we cannot reverse engineer the way text is generated due to large amount of parameters but I believe we understand basic principles of how those work.

I generally agree. In short-mid term it is much better to build cities around “walking” and public transportation. It is just much more economic, effective and generally pleasant way.

There probably still should exist some “taxi” service for “quick” transport if needed.

However I believe this works great for big cities. Things becomes much worse in smaller cities as well as areas outside of city where cars are just much more comfortable.

I’m living in Poland, Warsaw. Most parts of city are build with this idea in mind and it is great. You basically have all basic services in a walking distance or like 20 min in a bus. Transportation is awesome, you can get everywhere in public transport in decent time. Many people with cars still use public transport esp. in center where is difficult to find parking. The only downside is that in popular hours there are too many people in public transport.

However if you get into sub urban environment - car is must have, even just to get to the city. It will be difficult and expensive to organize public transport there in a way it is done in a city. However there are trains that can get you to the center of the city in like 20-30 minutes so it is still pretty decent.

Now on autonomous driving. It is still a pinnacle of tech advancements for near future because of many reasons such as:

• it is hard
• it will be much more effective
• it will be just comfortable
• it could be implemented in public transport as well
• probably safer (in terms of scale, there are still cyber security issues).

From my perspective self-driving car could go on par with urban development in a way it is done here in Europe.

I believe for us in EU it is always strange to see those two things (cars and urban environment) collide in US.

Well Hype cycle is real. We really tend to overestimate the impact of the stuff in the short period of time and underestimate in long run.

Let say we have a boost in AI starting in like 2012-2014. Right now lot’s of organizations are actively using AI in one way or another.

Very little number of companies will use Dalle or ChatGPT in next year but in ten years those models will probably be a commodity used by most companies.

In terms of singularity - I believe it is too optimistic to think that we will achieve it in 2 or 3 years. However there are chances with advancements in AI as well as quantum computing that we will see it in this century.

Well for particular industries GPT3 is already pretty revolutionary so we should see the progress going forward in those industries.

But still we should not overestimate GPT capabilities. In the end as far as I understand it is very good imitation model of data in the internet.

However for sure it would me substantial step forward and we will see more industries disrupted by AI.

I agree. While visual and audio side of thing will be figured out pretty soon I believe plot, logic, acting will require some more time, esp if we want some subtlety.

However I think it will all start with commercials. Short. Strait forward. Often even without people. Sometimes abstract. Should be a good ground for mastering the tech.

Another sphere are generic videos for stocks. We should be able to generate those (like people sitting in the coffee chatting) pretty soon.