matthra

matthra t1_ja9lti9 wrote

Concern is understandable, but I don't think I'd lose any sleep over it. The truth is that AI won't replace developers, developers using AI will replace developers who don't use AI. Adapting or exiting the profession is nothing new for us, We work in a field known for massive disruptions, and AI will be one of those.

It's just like when IDEs made programming much more approachable, software devs didn't disappear, instead the opposite happened and the industry expanded greatly. AI will make our jobs easier, and give the ability to code to a much broader audience. However think about how much of your job is actual coding vs problem-solving and designing solutions, topics that a simple transformer like chatgpt won't be able to emulate anytime soon.

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matthra t1_j6viqr2 wrote

No such thing as a perfect fake, it might be able to fool humans but they are detectable by various means. This also isn't our first go around with fakes As a species, for instance, Forgery has been around for forever but we still use documents. People have used Photoshop to alter photos, but none of us actually believe Obama eats babies.

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matthra t1_j0onxnn wrote

I'll agree that it's inevitable, but how much time we have is the question. The replacement of human labor is likely to be incremental, because AIG is such a tough nut to crack. So certain areas will be replaced before others, so we'll have a few dry runs before the whole thing gets finalized. I'm hopeful we can figure it out, but big changes come with a lot of unforeseen, like imagine trying to predict internet culture wars based just on DARPA researchers making the first versions of the internet. "Wait so everyone has access to every piece of human knowledge, and that somehow created more flat earthers?".

I think that it will take generations to get to full automation, because there are challenges unique to most specializations that are hard to master completely. That is a lot of time for a society about to lose necessary employment to figure out how and if to replace it. UBI might be the way, but given how incompletely we see the future, it could be that there are circumstances that make it not the best solution. I think we should keep an open mind, and not despair because our favored solution looks unlikely.

*edit* An example is UBI is predicated on capitalism, and we may find capitalism doesn't work with hyper-unemployment, which would be a very likely step along the path to full automation. There are a lot of corners we can't see around, and a lot of corners we have yet to see at all.

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