NATO is the reason Russia doesn't invade the Baltic states. Security guarantees for Japan aren't causing a war with China. You're getting an F on the basics.

Once you add the variable of security guarantees for both Ukraine and Russia, guaranteed by 3rd party countries, talks could be fruitful.

They're behind the river now, which they say makes it easier for them to hold out. That was the line predicted by Dmitri Alperovitch by the way, the expert who predicted the invasion 2 months before it happened.

Even the US says Putin is getting more accurate info now

At least they stopped killing each other

I didn’t say there was no activity lol

That's true, it's clearly significantly weakened. I hope that's a driver for peace talks, but that depends on what Ukraine does.

Reasons for Russia's continuance are the fresh recruits and belief that existing production can hold the current defensive lines. Which is believable considering it's been a standstill for months. Or at least, not much changes in controlled territory on either side.

I guess that non-activity is a good sign? Both sides have mentioned negotiations recently. Peace is always preferable from a human perspective.

>strangulated financially, his military ruined, his country end up as pariah of the West.

1 and 3 are givens. We have no idea how true 2 is.

Peace negotiations should be inevitable because neither side wants a forever war. Or is that a bad assumption?