should_go_work

should_go_work t1_j9zclbn wrote

Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning (PRML) and Elements of Statistical Learning (ESL) are two of the standard references that will give you what you're looking for with regards to the more classical topics you allude to (linear models, kernels, boosting, etc.).

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should_go_work t1_ix06vav wrote

Depending on the model, "tracing" the output is certainly possible - for example, in decision trees. As far as confidence is concerned, you might find the recent work in conformal prediction interesting (basically predicting ranges of outputs at a specified confidence level). A really nice tutorial can be found here: https://people.eecs.berkeley.edu/~angelopoulos/publications/downloads/gentle_intro_conformal_dfuq.pdf.

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