I'm not concerned with which side you're on. It has no bearing on your terrible logic and wanting to remove all human complexity from analyzing this data.

So in other words, you want one simple solution that applies to all situations. And you think somehow this makes you scientific instead of dogmatic?

Nowhere have you even argued against anything I said. You are just insisting one simple solution that applies universally is best.

You are the worst type of statistician. One who wants to ignore human messiness and politics because they complicate things too much. You're basically trying to turn sociology into a study of universal constants, with all the parts that make humans an especially difficult topic to study removed.

And I'm a lawyer, if we are pulling out qualifications just to support our arguments. Your underlying logic is a mess. I will explain again:

You are taking one statement ("People don't understand percentages") and are trying to apply it across the board to every mistaken belief about minority group sizes. Despite the fact all minority groups are not the same and are not treated the same by society.

To do this you are purposely shutting your eyes to any other explanation that may apply only to some groups and not universally. Like the fact GOP leaders like DeSantis are making it their entire platform that gender dysphoria is somehow spreading like a virus through grooming.

Honestly, what am I saying that you're objecting to? Do you disagree that conservatives have made it a major political point that trans people are recruiting children? Or are you arguing that there's just no way this mistaken belief could be showing up in the data?

This isn't valid logic. You're basically saying because they made one mistake about one group, every mistake about every other group is based on the exact same mistaken idea and there can be no other answer for any other situation.

This logic especially falls apart in the current political climate. There is no political party making it their platform that there is an epidemic of people identifying as Texan. There are, however, multiple political parties around the world, including in the US, saying that there is an epidemic of trans people grooming children and making them trans, and of trans identity being fashionable.

In other words, your logic is because these people don't understand percentages they can never think any minority groups are actually bigger than they are. You really can't see why that falls apart?

What makes you think this? There's another explanation here that some people believe being trans is "fashionable" and kinda are being "groomed." If you turn on Fox News you will see they truly think this is an epidemic. Why do you think that is less likely than your explanation that people are just really stupid and don't understand percentages, but really actually understand the true percentage of trans people in society?