I don’t envy the TV mets on this storm. One of the most challenging forecasts I’ve seen especially for SE NH and around the 495 belt into the Merrimack Valley. Your map looks good though, maybe we’ll get a little better model consensus this evening but it’s looking more like a nowcast event.

Good point, but if you guys get 12+ of wet heavy snow all bets are off. NWS was really pushing this in there morning discussion.

“Snow is expected to be wet, heavy and dense with a significant snow load factor that will greatly increase the risk for snow damage as totals exceed 4 or more inches. Factor that in with strong NE winds developing later Tuesday morning to especially Tuesday night, the potential for tree and powerline damage will prove a significant hazard, reflected in the Winter Storm Severity Index.”

I think power outages are a considerable threat in Rockingham, Hillsborough, and Cheshire counties. GYX and BOX WFOs have been hinting pretty hard at this in there AFD and watches. I think it was March 2017 that caused a ton of damage in the Merrimack valley that this storm reminds me of in terms of impact.

https://www.eagletribune.com/news/digging-out-power-lights-life-returns-to-normal-after-stella/article_23d3f9f6-aba1-58a1-b841-b2aab05c56dc.html

Just my two cents though, good forecast as always I enjoy your posts.

https://www.seacoastonline.com/story/news/2022/10/21/richard-allens-car-work-art-bring-joy-portsmouth-nh-area/10466355002/?fbclid=IwAR0ppRbhruIJGhChQo2WBeroj_qoz-t3k2YKUIhCxEpi6pfrnpphD37Nb3o