hmspain t1_iye75z9 wrote
Betting on cheaper electricity to make hydrogen cost effective is a very long shot. One could easily make an argument that solar will be more expensive in 2030.
kushal1509 t1_iye8asa wrote
>One could easily make an argument that solar will be more expensive in 2030.
Please make that "easy" argument.
robotzor t1_iye9jvp wrote
The easy argument is that the demand curve is going to sharply angle upward as a function of solar infra prices dropping vs utility prices increasing bring solar into reach for more people. Then it is a battle of supply & demand not only on manufacture but also skilled labor able to do it who are all already swamped with work today.
hmspain t1_iye9ii2 wrote
Supply and demand. As the cost of electricity increases, the counter (solar) will increase to match. Remember when x2 was the expected price for solar $k per kW? Now it's hard to find quotes under 3x.
The cost of electricity is increasing. I don't see that trend changing by 2030. We are already seeing prices like $0.65/kWh in San Diego. Prices like that used to be found only in Hawaii.
jppianoguy t1_iyearvy wrote
Are you talking about the cost for residential solar?
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