In 1950s computers were said to revolutionise everything and they did.

>and it strikes me that this is so much like the happy young christians trying to imagine what life will be like when jesus comes back.

Majority of the predictions for AI (good or bad) are backed by proper analysis by many experts in different fields. Please don't compare this to predictions from religious dumbfucks.

Countries won't be formed but i can definitely see global inequality among different countries reducing due to renewables, cell based agriculture etc. If global inequality reduces, globalisation will increase and many more countries will become visa free for work and tourism.

Agreed, the more efficient we get the richer we become. AI will make society wealthier which will create demand for new products and services.

Afaik there are no intercontinental trains between continents divided by sea.

This would be great for space applications. For commercial use maybe we only get this in premium products only.

Nope, the title is correct. Read the full article.

Specific purpose AI is quite disruptive already. It doesn't need to be AGI to make great changes in society. Cracking self-driving cars would disrupt the whole transport industry, Cooking robots would disrupt all the fast food chains etc.

1. Global inflation might reduce to pre pandemic levels.
2. Russia accepts defeat and/or a coup against putin.
3. Breakthrough in organic and perovskite solar.
4. Some of the big established breweries will announce their expansion in precision fermentation space. (Except ab n bev as they already did).
5. Significant advances in neuromorphic computing.
6. Companies from other countries might also announce sodium ion battery manufacturing plant.
7. Some significant breakthroughs in quantum computers and fusion. The breakthroughs would still be commercially irrelevant.
8. More successful treatments of cancer and autoimmune disorders using CAR T-cell therapy.
9. Real estate prices falling globally.
10. Elon musk and his companies might be investigated by legal authorities. The cult of elon finally dies next year.

From 2010 to 2020 solar has seen a 80% drop in its prices. I think it's very likely we will see another 50% drop from 2020 to 2030 (not 2050).

>One could easily make an argument that solar will be more expensive in 2030.

Please make that "easy" argument.

I am not saying battery will replace everything. The things where battery alternatives aren't viable would be replaced by bio fuels or e-fuels. Transporting and storing hydrogen is complicated you either need very high pressure tanks or cryogenic storage to get any useful energy density out of it. A few trial runs don't prove economic viability, they prove technical viability. The latter is relatively very easy to achieve.

>It is heavily used already as a fuel in maritime and transport

What's your definition for "heavily" here? AFAIK there have been some trial runs that won't even be 0.001% of the total fuel consumed by those industries.

Infrastructure required to store and transport hydrogen is costly and complicated to build. It will never be used as fuel at scale because electric is just cheaper in most cases.

Green hydrogen will never be used as a fuel but it will be used to make food like mentioned in this article. So all the research money spent on making electrolyzers will prove to be really useful but not for the purpose it was intended for.

Tech journos: "well now since you're about to reach 3nm transistor size, Moore's law is going to die right?"

Scientist: "nope we will just stack the transistors over each other."

TJ: "No!! my "expert" predictions are wrong...again!!"😭😭