All you have to do to litmus test this is look at the billions and billions of dollars being spent on self-driving cars. These systems are being managed by the largest, and most innovative companies, often with the smartest people in the field.. and they're all failing (minus Cruise and Waymo's incremental improvement).

Argo with billions of dollars invested, just collapsed last week.

If we were 5 to 10 years away, and the current architecture works, those companies would be capable of driving in more than two cities. If you can't pattern match images in a self-driving car, you are decades away from from even contemplating proto-AGI.