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IamSauerKraut t1_itbzxa7 wrote

Reply to comment by tabshiftescape in You know it's bad when the "everything is rigged" guy agrees that the polls aren't rigged by ActivatedFamiliar

I shall do no such thing. When it comes to Nate Silver, buyer beware.

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tabshiftescape t1_itc0fw6 wrote

In most areas of my life, I try to take the approach of “unless you know a better way.” Critical accusations and suggestions of caution have a place, but should be stated with evidence.

We have as much reason to treat your cautioning with caution as we do the link I originally posted.

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IamSauerKraut t1_itc2b7f wrote

Nate Silver has been so wrong so often for so long that I do not consider him a credible predictor of future events. That he is an aggregator or claims to use "math" is meaningless. Indeed, in the Perry-Daniels race for Congress, he has Daniels up by 3%. Which makes "unless you know a better way" equally meaningless in this context.

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