Data source: Twitter 1% sample stream

Tools: Python, regular expressions, R, ggplot

More discussion in my blog post

I’m really curious how many of these were bots, sock puppets, Russian trolls, etc.

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/06/05/study-russia-cybersecurity-twitter-1353543

I suppose the Twitter MAGAverse will grow again under Musk. Especially once Don the Con gets back on Twitter.

Likely very few. The idea that bots are behind everything is overly optimistic. The reality is Americans truly are very divided.

That's exactly what a bot would say /s

But seriously, wasn't it confirmed that a lot of the "trump supporters" on social media were actually bots?

What is the y axis? Percentage? Can see it goes up and down but if it's percentage then most of Twitter was Maga in 2020?

Do you have a citation for that? 74 million people voted for Trump so there's clearly a lot of legitimate supporters.

[removed]

I have no doubt that Trump has a huge amount of supporters. But bots are also very plausible and troll farms are a real thing. One would then have to prove how many bots were being used for this of course.

It's both, honestly. It takes a large operation to hijack the conversation so consistently, but once you get it going, well, you can see the results.

My Google is acting up so I can't click any links and share them. But Google trump supporters bots and there are a lot of articles about it.

Likly amount of users that has trump or maga somewhere on their profile per 10000 people. At the peak 60 people per 10000 had trump or MAGA in their bio or type it frequently. Idk though just guessing.

Why do you think they decided to vote for him? Media/social media persuasion works, especially with an army of bots and paid influencers.

Don’t get it twisted. They haven’t gone anywhere, they were just afraid of losing their jobs.

Obviously some people were affected but my point is most of his supporters sincerely support him, they aren't just following some Twitter bot opinion.

Noone is gonna lose their job because they support a candidate. Grow up

[removed]

The y-axis is prevalence per 10,000 accounts.

For a proportion, divide 60 by 10,000 = 0.006

For a percentage, multiply the proportion by 100 = 0.6%

It's good to compare prevalence against other words you might have an intuition about.

https://jasonjones.ninja/jason-j-jones-identity-trends-v1/showData.php?query=jesus%2Ctrump%2Cmaga%2Cobama%2Cclinton%2Cbiden&sampleType=cross

https://jasonjones.ninja/jason-j-jones-identity-trends-v1/showData.php?query=trump%2Cthe%2Cof%2Cand&sampleType=cross

https://jasonjones.ninja/jason-j-jones-identity-trends-v1/showData.php?query=trump%2Cbeer%2Cwhiskey%2Cvegan%2Credhead%2Cblonde&sampleType=cross

https://jasonjones.ninja/jason-j-jones-identity-trends-v1/showData.php?query=trump%2Cbasketball%2Cfootball%2Cbaseball%2Chockey%2Cvolleyball%2Csoccer&sampleType=cross

But what about people who are anti Trump and put something bad about him in their bios?

You made a couple huge leaps/assumptions to make this statement. "No one said bots are behind everything." Division in U.S. politics is real, and some number of bots/Russian trolls/sock puppets on Twitter is also real. One doesn't make the other impossible/untrue.

Well some people will, but it won't be as direct as other things.

MAGA people love winners. When he lost, a lot of them jumped ship. It's partly why he never admitted he was wrong. It would have turned off a big part of his support.

Haha, what? I’m pretty sure it would be illegal to fire someone because of who they support. It’s just weird to keep someone’s campaign slogan in your bio when they are not running for office. Trump’s approval rating is about 41%, same as Biden’s, do you really think that corporations would fire 41% of their workers during one of the biggest labor shortages? You are weird, and are probably suffering from brain rot, I would have that looked at.

[deleted]

What is this “data” attempting to convey? The date Trump was kicked off Twitter?

Where's the chart for the Democrat's "Make America Less Great" movement on Twitter?

>who ever screams the loudest has no real impact on the election.

Were you paying any attention in 2016?

The influence of Twitter isn't Twitter. At least not directly. Journalists and media execs are all over Twitter. They then magnify what they see by covering it and amplifying Twitter BS through other media. That's why Trump was able to leverage his Twitter presence so effectively. Trump posts some dumbass tweet while taking a dump. Fox News and the rest of right wing media amplify it Other media start covering the dumpster fire. Aaaand there goes a whole news cycle. It's definitely about unemployed young people, regardless of political affiliation.