fins4ever t1_iu4gkxe wrote on October 28, 2022 at 2:09 PM

Reply to comment by SkiingAway in Kuster Trailing in New NHJournal Poll, With Hassan Tied and Leavitt Close - NH Journal by slimyprincelimey

Honestly the senate race has had enough polling that I've got a handle on where it's at, but the house races feel like such a black box to me. No idea what's going on with them and I feel like the only way I'll find out is watching election returns in two weeks

SkiingAway t1_iu4h30y wrote on October 28, 2022 at 2:12 PM

I agree there's been a lack of polling of individual races in general - 538's quantified that a bit recently, too.

That said, in the absence of polling, I would typically put my money on the person who's won the last 5 times, especially since it's not like they've been close even in not great years for national Dems.

(And the Republicans haven't gone with a candidate that seems very likely to attract moderates).

fins4ever t1_iu4hf81 wrote on October 28, 2022 at 2:15 PM

I would definitely say Kuster is the favorite, but she could be in trouble if there's a landslide, which looks possible. Honestly to some extent Burns' lack of visibility has actually been a good thing for him. I imagine a number of voters might vote for him simply out of dissatisfaction with the incumbent party, knowing little about him personally