Comments
fins4ever t1_iu3ysgo wrote
NH Journal and Granite Grok are both conservative but NH Journal is much more establishment conservative. As to the poll, quite possible it had bad sampling data. I wouldn't say NH 2 is safe dem, but it certainly leans that way. If dems do lose it, they've probably lost very badly nationwide.
kearsargeII t1_iu49xew wrote
Yeah, but NH-1 is a tossup district, and Pappas is doing about as good as he could do in that race as per that poll. Kuster has won by double digits in previous races, and other polls seem to support this. If NH-2 was leaning republican by that much, then both the senate and NH-1 should be blowout victories for republicans. That they are not suggests something weird is going on with demographics that they are predicting a crazy 11 point shift in lean in one race but basically nothing in the other when Kuster hasn’t had any big scandals and Burns isn’t really in the news enough for him to attract new voters.
fins4ever t1_iu4ba72 wrote
Well the NH1 and NH2 sample might be significantly different. I would think that either the NH2 poll is being too generous, NH1 too harsh, or more likely probably both. It is certainly a bit odd. Maybe there could be an ideological shift in NH2 also? I know Republicans have made big inroads in the north country and the Claremont area the last few years
SkiingAway t1_iu4fs4b wrote
> I know Republicans have made big inroads in the north country and the Claremont area the last few years
Not sure I agree with that regarding Sullivan County, but as reminder: You're talking about the two least-populous counties in the state (and who continue to lose population), home to only ~74,000 people and around 11% of NH-2's population.
If every single voter in Sullivan + Coos Counties in 2020 voted Republican....Kuster would likely still have won.
Also, with Grafton both growing and seemingly shifting further away from Republicans, I'd imagine the ideological balance of the 3 counties is either a wash or slight shift towards the Dems.
fins4ever t1_iu4gkxe wrote
Honestly the senate race has had enough polling that I've got a handle on where it's at, but the house races feel like such a black box to me. No idea what's going on with them and I feel like the only way I'll find out is watching election returns in two weeks
SkiingAway t1_iu4h30y wrote
I agree there's been a lack of polling of individual races in general - 538's quantified that a bit recently, too.
That said, in the absence of polling, I would typically put my money on the person who's won the last 5 times, especially since it's not like they've been close even in not great years for national Dems.
(And the Republicans haven't gone with a candidate that seems very likely to attract moderates).
fins4ever t1_iu4hf81 wrote
I would definitely say Kuster is the favorite, but she could be in trouble if there's a landslide, which looks possible. Honestly to some extent Burns' lack of visibility has actually been a good thing for him. I imagine a number of voters might vote for him simply out of dissatisfaction with the incumbent party, knowing little about him personally
slimyprincelimey OP t1_iu5p06u wrote
It's a poll paid for by NH Journal and undertaken by co/efficient, a newish but fairly mainstream non-partisan pollster. Not many polls in NH so you take what you can get.
Beautiful_Repeat_718 t1_iu3h63k wrote
Leavitt once said that she believes 'God made women to make babies'. If you are a woman and KNOW that you are meant to do more with your existence than just make babies, don't vote for Leavitt.
EDIT : In a 2021 podcast, she argued that abortion “is not about women’s reproductive rights, it is not about women’s health. It is about life and protecting that, period. And as a woman, it is the most amazing thing that we can do to reproduce. That’s why we’re here. That’s why, you know, God made men and women.”
5nd t1_iu3srbm wrote
I mean, uterus. Women are built to make babies biologically.
WapsuSisilija t1_iu4015z wrote
r/justneckbeardthings
5nd t1_iu490no wrote
I don't know what to say if you are denying that one of the things women's bodies are capable of and built for is to produce offspring.
It's plain denial of reality.
Solid_Information_66 t1_iu5hvas wrote
Women were designed to have babies, but to say in this day and age that that is out sole purpose for existence is pure insanity. Nobodies existence should be seen solely "to make babies".
5nd t1_iu5pj17 wrote
Nobody ever said it was the sole purpose you illiterate.
Solid_Information_66 t1_iu87942 wrote
Nobody...except Karoline Leavitt.
Also when you end a statement like that, you come off as being illiterate. Like when a person who doesn't know what they're talking about just sort of trails off in the middle of a sentence.
NHUndeclared t1_iu4chmf wrote
That doesn't mean any woman should have to carry a child against her will.
#VoteBlueToProtectWomensRights
5nd t1_iu4eip8 wrote
I never said that, you illiterate.
WhoWhatWhereWhenHowY t1_iu59rp4 wrote
You implied it
baxterstate t1_iu4beu2 wrote
It is misogynistic to say that. Just like questioning or even reporting on John Fetterman’s cognitive and communication abilities is Ableism.
[deleted] t1_iu3oofp wrote
[deleted]
redeggplant01 t1_iu3pduz wrote
Well Pappas’ track record of voting for the failed policies of socialism shows he’s not the better choice
SarahSuckaDSanders t1_iu4c1k5 wrote
Lol. You joke, but there are morons out there that actually think this.
redeggplant01 t1_iu5b4ha wrote
Your attack of the messenger shows that the message is spot on
Beautiful_Repeat_718 t1_iu87gys wrote
Your inability to grasp that they're comment was not an attack, but a personal opinion about others point of view, shows that the claims that Republicans are uneducated is spot on.
HowardNelsonJr t1_iu5boxg wrote
Women aren’t even women to the democrats anymore. They are “birthing people”, “those with uteruses” and “those capable of menstruating”. The party of science says a man can dress as a woman and is now a woman.
Just stop. No one cares. They care about every day issues, not hypersensitive liberal crybaby crap. This is why the R’s will win. Trying to paint KL as a misogynist is laughably stupid.
juicebronston t1_iu5rykn wrote
If nobody cared, then you wouldn’t keep replying to these posts in an attempt to make your fiction a reality.
HowardNelsonJr t1_iu5smzs wrote
Since comprehension is difficult for liberals:
No one cares about the issues democrats are running on. I wasn’t saying no one cares about the conversation.
What did I say here that’s fiction that you didn’t actually attempt to challenge whatsoever?
Beautiful_Repeat_718 t1_iu86kl0 wrote
> Trying to paint KL as a misogynist is laughably stupid.
I'm not trying to paint anyone as anything. I'm simply reposting a quote from a misogynist and a hypocrite. She believes that God made her to make babies, then she must also believe that she is less than a man and should be subservient to them.
HowardNelsonJr t1_iudvcaf wrote
leftists are absolutely crazy. This woman is a misogynist! 🤣
movdqa t1_iu7j41v wrote
538 lists this as a B/C poll. Most recent good poll is Emerson.
UnfairAd7220 t1_iu37goo wrote
If Hassan is reported as 'tied,' she's behind. Kuster and Pappas are behind, too.
The election can't come fast enough. All three hacks need to go.
redeggplant01 t1_iu3pfn3 wrote
Yup, their votes help put the US in the mess it is now
WapsuSisilija t1_iu3zyyx wrote
Hahaha. Literally no. Record corporate profits. Global inflation. War driven fuel prices. Specifically, name the policy.
HowardNelsonJr t1_iu59cq6 wrote
Would love to hear you try to explain why energy prices rose for an entire year before the war broke out 🤣
It’s amazing how Putin is responsible for all democrat failures
Larang5716 t1_iu5f7jg wrote
The war drove up fuel prices some for sure, maybe less so in the US than the rest of the world. Prices rose in the time before the war because the major energy companies saw an opportunity to start price gouging people due to the pandemic and jumped on the chance. Refer to the previous person's post noting record corporate profits. The current federal government was actually reducing gas prices for a while before OPEC decided to screw people over again by cutting production.
HowardNelsonJr t1_iu5s5at wrote
No. On day one of the Biden administration they began the phasing out of fossil fuels, which he campaigned on. The democrats have cut domestic production in favor of buying it from adversaries and hostile regimes, and our democrat representatives have greenlit his agenda. Maybe we wouldn’t have to beg Saudi Arabia for oil if we would allow production at home instead. There is a reason why the price of energy started climbing in 2021, a whole year after the pandemic broke out.
I keep hearing this silly excuse from our democrat representatives, that big oil is doing this on purpose to make record profits and exploit us and that they have more capacity that they are choosing not to use. Simple question - if that is so, then why would they not use the additional capacity to price gouge and make even more record profits? Because it’s nonsense. They have told these companies they will be out of business in a few years, and then act shocked when prices are raised or they refuse to expand operations. Why in the world would oil companies invest in their businesses just to close down in the next decade? It’s silly. It’s democrat policies coming home to roost.
WapsuSisilija t1_iu695g5 wrote
The President doesn't cut domestic production. The government doesn't control whether private companies turn on the pumps.
HowardNelsonJr t1_iudw9wp wrote
Lmao.. yea democrats are NEVER responsible for their failures. But when republicans are in office it’s ALL THEIR FAULT. Right? Right?
WapsuSisilija t1_iufp861 wrote
The President doesn't control domestic production of oil and gas. He also doesn't set or control prices of them.
HowardNelsonJr t1_iujap1r wrote
Then why does he keep taking credit when gas prices come down?
A very very small group of people believe/agree with what you say. The president and government policies absolutely 100% play into production and prices. You have to be pretty stupid to believe they don’t.
Larang5716 t1_iu6c91h wrote
Why would you cut domestic oil production and then keep buying it aboard without having any kind of backup in motion? That logic makes no sense. Could it be that the gas price increases when 2021 came around were the cause of people either getting vaccinated and then driving again or people being forced back to work and then driving again? Demand went down during the pandemic and then came up when people started using gas again. To answer your question: what do you think they're doing right now? Why do you think the inflation narrative is being spread far and wide? Oil companies haven't invested in their business in decades. They use their influence to buy off politicians from both parties and shut down any possibilities for a shift away from their oil. Did you know we've had the ability to make cars with over 100 mpg since the 80s? This current predicament isn't the cause of Democrats. It's what happens when oil and money control the world. Vote for the person that has a platform and a plan, not platitudes and slogans.
HowardNelsonJr t1_iudvzxn wrote
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Because the democrats want to push their green liberal dreams on us well before we’re actually ready for it. Also don’t act like a bozo.. gas prices were less than $3 for years before the pAnDeMiC.
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The inflation narrative is being spread far and wide because democrat policies have give us the highest inflation in 40 years and it is hurting everyone especially the poor. Obviously.
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If we’ve had the ability to make 100 mpg cars for 30/40 years, that tells me the EPA and government has failed, because they have allowed that not to happen. Let’s cut funding!
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I’ll vote for whoever the fuck I want and yes the current predicament is the cause of democrats.
redeggplant01 t1_iu72n9q wrote
All the result of Dem policies
HowardNelsonJr t1_iu5asbh wrote
That’s what happens when your only strategy is to lie about abortion and social security when people are concerned about energy, economy, inflation, crime, border etc. the dems green lit bidens agenda that has absolutely tanked the country and impacted everyone’s life who doesn’t live in their moms basement. Those chickens are coming home to roost when people fill their oil tanks and started paying these recent electric bills.
Watching fivethirtyeight’s senate projection these past 2 weeks has been amazing. If R’s go 3 for 3, this sub is going to be fucking gold on 11/9.
Leavitt will win, Bolduc will most likely also win, and we’ll see about Burns. He’s a long shot.
juicebronston t1_iu5ro4p wrote
“That’s what happens when your only strategy is to lie…”
Irony is dead.
HowardNelsonJr t1_iu5sqka wrote
Cool
BakedBeansBazar t1_iu61lry wrote
Care to share how the dems tanked the economy? I keep seeing this blanket statement with zero facts on here. Need the info, I must be out of the loop.
Also care to share how many Republicans voted for anti-price gouging, Inflation reduction act and consumer protection acts like insulin caps that would keep costs lower? The results may shock you. But if your only strategy is to lie....
Beautiful_Repeat_718 t1_iu863vg wrote
I hear ads for 1.2 trillion in "reckless spending" by the democrats and I instantly am reminded that 'Oh yeah, our national debt also went down 1.2 trillion'.
HowardNelsonJr t1_iudww9k wrote
Fact check: false
HowardNelsonJr t1_iudws66 wrote
Yea, reckless spending causing massive inflation. Forced lockdowns for way too long causing supply shortages. Couple those together and you have tanked the economy. Not to mention forcing kids to stay out of school causing learning loss across the country. And their stupid forced vaccination attempts which further disrupted the supply chain. Now they’re sending us straight into a recession causing the stock market to take a giant dump, and their weakness they display across the globe makes these deranged world leaders feel empowered to start doing shit like invading the Ukraine.
I like the way you frame it like republicans vote for anti price gouging, inflation production act etc.
The republicans voted against more massive government spending, not against all those cute compassionate things you mentioned. Stop the spending, stop the bleeding.
BakedBeansBazar t1_iujow6o wrote
Trump increased the national debt more than Obama did in 8 years, in just 4 short years. That is not 'fiscal responsibility'.
Also: The first time Trump was impeached was for withholding congressionally approved aid for the Ukraine. What is happening in Ukraine was easily preventable, but Trump made sure Russia could move right in because he was too busy attempting to force Zelensky to lie and say he was investigating Biden. The fact you think it's "Democrats" who "allowed" Putin to walk right in is deranged. It was quite literally Trump.https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/16/trump-administration-broke-law-in-withholding-ukraine-aid.html
PS: We are not in a recession, GDP rose 2.6% last quarter. Stop breaking everything down to left and right. Nothing is that simple.
pahnzoh t1_iu4fkf9 wrote
Good, fuck these pieces of shit that the morons in this state voted into office.
Their replacements arent much better but get these slime balls out for now.
[deleted] t1_iu4ij4a wrote
[removed]
Azr431 t1_iu4lfz2 wrote
The one point this sock puppet got right is that libertarians and republicans are the same group
kearsargeII t1_iu3rde3 wrote
NH Journal is a republican propaganda shitrag that managed to squat on “ NH Journal” before anyone else got to it. It is literally a Granite Grok clone, best I can tell, exact same contributors, and the site even looks similar.
The credibility of the polls is pretty dubious Kuster is losing after a 10 point lead in previous polls, while somehow the more republican NH-1 still hasn’t shifted at all from a slight Pappas lead. This doesn’t suggest a republican surge, this is suggesting literal random numbers being thrown out there.
Edit: seriously, they have Burns in the lead with 87% of conservatives and 30% of the moderates, while Kuster has 60% of the moderates and 85% of the liberals, along with a bigger chunk of the conservatives at 10% than Burns has of the Liberals. NH-2 is a safe district for democrats. A conservative majority does not exist here if conservatives have been unable to win a seat here for over a decade. If Kuster is dominating the moderates then she is going to win, and nothing here suggests a conservative surge, My guess is conservative responses were seriously over counted, maybe even a typo in the weighing or something in NH-2 as otherwise this makes zero sense. It isn’t like Kuster has done anything huge in the news that would make people abandon her en masse and leave Pappas, whose seat is far more vulnerable, alone.