Submitted by myActiVote t3_ym2k7r in newhampshire

We analyzed the major party statewide candidates for New Hampshire. When we plotted them - this may explain why we are hearing about ticket splitting in Hew Hampshire? These are two very different types of Republicans and two very different types of Democrats.

Thoughts?

https://preview.redd.it/7ey2dzrchyx91.png?width=1600&format=png&auto=webp&s=970a6e6e43b84d7676e556c700602d01a753a8a0

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3rd_ferguson t1_iv1mn6p wrote

I don't understand what that graphic is showing me. Labels on the X and Y axes would help.

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valleyman02 t1_iv1p9vi wrote

So I think that the x-axis starts at far left moves to far right. And y-axis is most probable candidate the voter votes for. But yeah who knows really and they do it on purpose. To confuse on purpose. So people don't really understand even what they're seeing. Just another attempt to confuse the voters. To make it so the left and the right can look at the same graph and come to two different conclusions.

Because that's the American way today. As confusing as we can make it.

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myActiVote OP t1_iv1qcv0 wrote

Apologies - the goal is not confusion and this generally looks better when a voter is only looking at the people on their own ballot. I posted the full state to learn from the discussion.

On the axis - we made this video a few years ago. We wanted to avoid the bias of using predefined axis as setting them in advance supposes that you know those are the most important dimensions and we wanted the data to determine the dimensions. Not claiming it is perfect, but that was the rationale for our approach.

So we let the algorithm determine which issues most differentiate voters - and those turned out to be economic (taxes, opportunity, spending) - and those make up the x axis. And then which issues next differentiated voters - and those turned out to be (individual rights, foreign policy, education, immigration) - and those make up the y axis.

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valleyman02 t1_iv1rdlr wrote

As an old STEM student myself. I actually do appreciate the data. You can never have enough data. Honestly I wasn't trying to put down this study. I appreciate the hard work and commitment it took to produce it. Thank you.

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myActiVote OP t1_iv1ysz5 wrote

Feedback & input is how we all make things better. Thanks for taking the time.

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Peeeculiar t1_iv1gz5a wrote

Yes. Many more in Hew Nampshire will be splitting tickets than usual.

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ShortUSA t1_iv2gd8f wrote

The vagueness of this image and lack of a link to some detail make this post appear to be click bait.

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Lumpyyyyy t1_iv1my2n wrote

Now this is the type of quality content I come to this sub for

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Infinite-Trader t1_iv1l04a wrote

Sununu is too popular with the democrats to lose. Hassan is on her way out

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Rolling_Beardo t1_iv2muko wrote

I don’t know single Democrat that likes Sununu or has ever liked him.

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valleyman02 t1_iv1o6wl wrote

I mean you're half right. So unfortunately Sununu is probably is going to win. But I think it would take a miracle to see Hassan lose. Of course it's possible you are right. And I'm the one that has no clue.

Understand I might be just totally wrong. But I definitely see Sununu and maybe a few other Republicans winning as the highlights of election night for republicans.

That by Wednesday it's going to become clear that Republicans lose all over this country. That's my prediction I'm going to stick with it at least until Wednesday after the election.

Go VOTE!!!

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wegandi t1_iv1sbv6 wrote

Do you honestly believe that or do you hope thats the case? If its the former youre setting yourself up for lots of emotional distress.

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valleyman02 t1_iv1whm4 wrote

Both it's just a guess. That's how I want it. if Republicans win I'll do what I did last time Republicans won and go to work.

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AussieJeffProbst t1_iv1sqmz wrote

The house looks to be won by the R at this point.

The senate is still highly contested. It could go either way.

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UnfairAd7220 t1_iv2a9rw wrote

How desperate. Trying to salvage a win for any democrat candidate?

I'm not splitting shit. The democrats have gone crazy. Worrying about social justice horseshit while the economy fails from their policies and actions is dumb.

You don't even CARE that the folks on fixed income won't be able to afford oil or food?

Voting republican. All the way down.

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myActiVote OP t1_iv2cpfd wrote

I was just curious - glad to hear your opinion!

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