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Kidrellik t1_ixmwury wrote

General Mark Milley said that both sides probably lost around a 100k soldiers in causalities but it's probably higher on the Ukrainian side now since they're on the offensive against dug in Russian troops with the artillery advantage. Now this wouldn't be a problem if the both had a similar population but they don't, Ukraine has about 34 million people compared to Russias 116 million. That means that a single Ukrainian soldier is a lot more valuable then a Russian one.

In the long term, it certainly doesn't look good for Ukraine if the causalities are somewhat equal and that's just the hard truth of the matter.

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ogipogo t1_ixn3zkp wrote

You've been making this comment repeatedly so why don't you go ahead and share a source?

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Odd-Employment2517 t1_ixnua5q wrote

France took 750 casualties per day for 4 years in a row and still won ww1. Ukraine is nowhere near that while Russia has passed US Vietnam combat deaths for the entire Vietnam war in less than 8 months

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Kidrellik t1_ixnuxi5 wrote

France also had a massive colonial empire to fall back on for manpower and 10% of the French population didn't leave the country. Ukraine is also more than likely taking that much or slightly below that much causalities as they were on the offencive against an enemy with the firepower advantage.

Russia has also taken 100k causalities, not a 100k dead. It's probably like 25k dead and 75k wounded. America and its allies suffered 340k dead and another 1.34 million causalities.

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keymone t1_ixo4ok4 wrote

You don’t account for russia’s dwindling support for war effort, sinking popularity of putin as coffins get shipped home and most importantly - degrading equipment in face of winter.

They have been on the back foot for 6 months and losing ground - that doesn’t play into “the great empire with second best army in the world” and at some point the charade will break from the inside.

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Kidrellik t1_ixoifiv wrote

Yea moral and the popularity of the war and Putin don't really matter since he has a massive internal police force which keep an eye on everything and arrest people left, right and center so the chance of some major revolution happening is pretty much slim to none right now. If it's like a million dead and 4 years from now, then there might be some real repercussions. Their equipment is also mostly going to be fine because they're artillery army well NATO is an air power army, which actually does get hampered a lot during winter.

They could also just say that they're fighting NATO in Ukraine which in all honesty, they kind of are. I mean Ukraine, a country with a gdp comparable to Mississippi , got a 100 billion dollars in 8 months of which 54 of that went to their army. That's the military budget of France, a country with 20 times they're gdp and comparable to Russia it self.

At the end of the day, this war is going to be years long and if it comes down to who could bleed more, Ukraine has to cause a lot more causalties then Russia does.

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