ManhattanRailfan t1_jccj92f wrote on March 15, 2023 at 9:16 PM

Reply to comment by WickhamAkimbo in Study shows those released under NY's bail reform laws are less likely to get rearrested by mowotlarx

Dude, whether the data is accurate or not is irrelevant. The conclusion you're drawing from it cannot be drawn with that data alone. You're making way too many assumptions.

And yes, a person can be in poverty, but if they have a stable source of food and housing, then they're in much better shape than someone who doesn't technically fall below the poverty line but goes hungry every night so their kid can eat. These concepts shouldn't be particularly difficult to grasp.

WickhamAkimbo t1_jcdjvw5 wrote on March 16, 2023 at 1:30 AM

> The conclusion you're drawing from it cannot be drawn with that data alone.

Uh, yes, it can. The conclusion I gave was clearly stated as "The group in NYC with the highest poverty rate has the lowest crime rate." That's true and supported by those independent sources. You don't need a sociologist to add an "and" to those sentences.

You tried to discredit the statement with some very poorly-thought-out speculation on your part, and probably didn't take 60 seconds to challenge your own worldview.

ManhattanRailfan t1_jcdkvfq wrote on March 16, 2023 at 1:37 AM

Okay, but the implication you're trying to make from that "fact" (arrest rates are not the same as crime rates) is unsupported by it. The only thing it proves is that you're a racist. Race is irrelevant here. And as I said, the data is skewed because black and brown communities are overpoliced. Looking at crime and wealth maps of the city is far more relevant despite what you're saying because the vast majority of crimes tend to happen in the community of the person committing said crime.

WickhamAkimbo t1_jcfboww wrote on March 16, 2023 at 12:57 PM

> Okay, but the implication you're trying to make from that "fact" (arrest rates are not the same as crime rates) is unsupported by it.

That's not the point I made either explicitly or implicitly. The point I made is that you are wrong; that crime has more causes than just poverty, and in many cases, poverty isn't even the biggest contributing factor.

> The only thing it proves is that you're a racist. Race is irrelevant here.

You call me a racist because you don't have any valid response to what I'm saying. You panic and use whatever you can to avoid looking at the numbers because they totally disprove your very simplistic view of the world.

> And as I said, the data is skewed because black and brown communities are overpoliced.

Wrong again. Victimization surveys mirror the arrest rates given above. Victims themselves, including black and brown victims, identify their attackers in proportion to arrest rates. That's relevant when you claim that poverty causes crime and yet the most impoverished racial group is vastly underrepresented in crime stats.

YOU ARE WRONG. Your feelings don't matter. I'm giving you some very cold hard data that doesn't care about your emotions, and you are flopping around trying your best to ignore it.