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K1lgoreTr0ut t1_j63nnpt wrote

Scientists in this field tend to use conservative estimates to avoid being accused of alarmism.

Even if we have 100% accurate measurements and predictions, people will ignore them because they don’t want to believe they’ve been fooled.

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gerundive t1_j69gdej wrote

> Scientists in this field tend to use conservative estimates to avoid being accused of alarmism.

Surely scientists in this field give probabilities for low, medium and high risk scenarios?

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K1lgoreTr0ut t1_j6avv8q wrote

Only being very conservative produces anything resembling a low risk situation.

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