Difficult_Review9741 t1_ja4lxdh wrote on February 26, 2023 at 8:23 PM

I have a feeling that ever task over a certain cognitive complexity will be automated at about the same time. Software development is definitely in this group.

If you truly believe that there will be no need for software developers in 3 years (I think this is truly far-fetched), then you have to conclude that there will probably be very few jobs left in 3 years. So, you might as well pursue what interests you anyways.

polda604 OP t1_ja4mfqh wrote on February 26, 2023 at 8:27 PM

I don’t think in exactly 3 years, but the point it will be up to 10 years for example. Somebody had nice opinion about that, but as you say I’m wondering if continue programming or no, but I think it’s great idea to learn work with ai and do stuff with that

spiritus_dei t1_ja553y5 wrote on February 26, 2023 at 10:33 PM

It's not a linear change, it's an exponential. I am already shocked at how well large language models are doing. I will be shocked if it's 10 years. OpenAI has thrown an army of coders at the problem since the upside for Microsoft is pretty big to automate coding.

Here is an article: https://www.semafor.com/article/01/27/2023/openai-has-hired-an-army-of-contractors-to-make-basic-coding-obsolete