AdditionalPizza OP t1_jae8yaq wrote on February 28, 2023 at 8:22 PM

Reply to comment by Unfocusedbrain in (Long post) Will the GPT4 generation of models be the last "highly anticipated" by the public? by AdditionalPizza

>I would wager within half a decade a multi-model proto-agi will be available that could do all the cognitive tasks a human can do at least at acceptable (but not necessarily extraordinary) levels. Not within a year, thats bonkers.

Did I imply that in my post somewhere? I don't mean anything that capable within the year, I'm saying a drastic change in the average person's life caused directly by the impact AI will have this year when the "next gen" is in-your-face on search engines and widely used instead of our primitive search today.

Unfocusedbrain t1_jaebvqz wrote on February 28, 2023 at 8:42 PM

I agree with you and I apologize if it seemed like I was implying you were giving a deadline for AGI. That was not my intention. I just liked your realistic perspective on AI progress, instead of the “AGI is < 10 years away! Can’t wait!” hype that some people have.

And yes, there will be a huge change on the web soon, similar to the iPhone and social media revolution in 2008. It’s not only Google and Microsoft - many other companies are working on LLM-enhanced search engines. We don’t know how that will affect the world, but I think it will speed up AGI research and make the world even more different than before and after social media & smartphones.

AdditionalPizza OP t1_jaecxy9 wrote on February 28, 2023 at 8:49 PM

Oh ok, I thought maybe I made a slip in my post somewhere implying that.

But yeah, I think although we will all adapt very quickly to this upcoming shift to how we access the internet, I think in hindsight it will be one of the big moments we remember for the rest of our lives.