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dex3r t1_jdqbyr4 wrote

Take a look at a Doomsday Argument https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_argument

> The argument goes like this: suppose that the total number of human beings that will ever exist is fixed. If so, the likelihood of a randomly selected person existing at a particular time in history would be proportional to the total population at that time. Given this, the argument posits that a person alive today should adjust their expectations about the future of the human race, because their own existence provides information about the total number of humans that will ever live.

If this is true, then we are not lucky. We are exactly in the most likely time to live. But it also means, that human population has reached its peak. Maybe we will go extinct, but maybe we will just reproduce a lot less often. Even not taking Singularity into account, the current trend looks like the second might be true.

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hypnomancy t1_jdqhlrw wrote

If we're all able to live forever thanks to AGI and ASI making us immortal or living for hundreds or thousands of years we honestly don't even have to worry about reproducing anymore

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Smart-Tomato-4984 t1_jdqsjmp wrote

And it would be much better if we did not reproduce, but we should expect 105 billion more people to be born before we realize that filling the galaxy with human descendants would result in a tragedy of the galactic commons and an ecology of stronger civilization eating weaker ones, due to evolution by natural and mimetic selection.

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