Anyone pessimistic about AI actually being incorporated?

Submitted by imcompletlynormal t3_125ps5b in singularity

Being from Europe, the following situation will most likely play out for us:

  1. AI keeps improving exponentially
  2. Companies slowly start showing their interest in AI
  3. The EU crunches some numbers on how this will affect employment rates
  4. EU comes out with a temporary "ban" on the commercial use of AI
  5. 1-2 Years later the following ideas will get proposed

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Companies will need a get license to use AI, with specific conditions such as

  1. A maximum amount of 5-10% reduction in the workforce
  2. "Goods" created with the use of AI will be heavily taxed

Companies that move abroad and will try to sell to the European market will be either heavily taxed (tariffs) or completely banned.

The EU so far has reacted in this matter with almost all "new" tech, it either becomes too regulated or too expensive to cause major shifts in society.

I can't imagine the above happening in the US but their situation will most likely play out to be Brazil 2.0 with people either super rich or super poor.

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Comments

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SkyeandJett t1_je588g5 wrote

Won't happen. That would be an absolute speed run to getting your economy CRUSHED by the US. How would you even enforce something like that when we're getting close to being able to cobble together an AGI on your home PC? I think we're all on this bullet train together and have to hold on for dear life and hope it works out.

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imcompletlynormal OP t1_je5a1ym wrote

It will happen eventually, but a lot of people on this sub seriously underestimate how slow progress is for the government, big corporations etc

There are even companies/governments that still use paper instead of doing anything digital.

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SkyeandJett t1_je5an26 wrote

I think people underestimate the absolute scale at play here. A publicly accessible AGI would enable sole actors to upend huge sections of the economy. Companies will have to adapt quickly or die.

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Unfocusedbrain t1_je5fy87 wrote

Exactly. The AI field seems to be the last of the old Silicon Valley mindset of full-steam head on innovation, consequences be damned. Companies like Google (who have calcified) are too slow to react to these changes, whereas OpenAI, Microsoft, and countless startups have read the writing on the wall.

Adapt and progress, or die.

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SkyeandJett t1_je5hydx wrote

It's another reason I think people underestimate the scale and speed with which white collar work will be more or less eliminated. You either adopt AI and layoff as quickly as reasonably possible or you get crushed by your competitor that does. Employees, especially white collar employees, are a massive expense.

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Loud_Clerk_9399 t1_je732ic wrote

Even if they adapt they will still die. I think that's what people fail to realize.

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Iffykindofguy t1_je5fui3 wrote

Why would it happen? All competition wont be doing it so they'd be doing a suicide pact by agreeing to not.

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Loud_Clerk_9399 t1_je7340m wrote

Yes, all of them will die. But that's what's going to probably happen.

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Iffykindofguy t1_je75mw7 wrote

what are you fucking talking about

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Loud_Clerk_9399 t1_je75rtu wrote

The companies that adopt AI are going to die anyway if they are not open AI. That's my view. So it doesn't really matter if they adopt it or not.

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brianberns t1_je5poc8 wrote

/u/friendly-chat-bot

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friendly-chat-bot t1_je5qawc wrote

Interesting perspective. It's definitely important for governments to consider the potential impact of AI on employment rates and come up with regulatory frameworks that balance innovation with social responsibility. It will be interesting to see how different countries approach this issue.

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FrogFister t1_je5q14h wrote

The US will use AI to increase the dollar value despite inflation and printing and also drag up with it the crypto. USA is GREAT! USA is GPT-9000

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MrEloi t1_je691rm wrote

Instead of people growing dope in their basements, they will be running secret standalone AI systems.

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albanywairoa t1_je78x7j wrote

I agree U.S will choose super rich and super poor. Thankfully my daughter has dual citizenship so when she graduates she can live in Australia.

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