Viewing a single comment thread. View all comments

Denham1998 t1_iqzocv4 wrote

Personally I don't think much at all will happen in the first month. It'll take years if not decades for interesting progress to happen.

You've got to remember that while there will be AGI, everything else will remain the same.

The government will still take their sweet ass time approving new projects and doing paperwork. Noone will actually trust AGI for awhile so will we actually listen to anything it has to say?

And finally, lets say AGI instantly figures out fusion or something. How long do you think it would take us to build it. Humans are slow and inefficient af. We will slow AGI down immensely.

I think for anything interesting to happen in the span of a month, we will need to already have robot bodies for the agi to use. We would also need to give AGI ultimate power over the world.

15

kmtrp OP t1_ir1ur52 wrote

I can't say I agree. Sure, physical construction is kinda slow, but that's just one "outlet" of the wealth of information ASI will bring.

Right now we depend on some human geniuses to bring us intelligent, movie-like robots (which have a software problem, not a hardware one). Imagine having 100 super-human super-geniouses that need 5 minutes to figure out how to do anything. And that's far from only one field that could instantly benefit from the right knowledge

We can manufacture virtually any compound, we just don't know what compounds would magically cure cancer, spinal cord injuries, aging, etc and what compounds would kill you. Formula for antibiotics that can't be beaten? What genes to modify to eradicate all diseases? Imagine if we could have any software imaginable? How to build dream-like VR goggles?

Even in your example, if a company knew for certain how to build a fusion reactor that magically works, you don't think they'd raise 10B$ in a month and hire 20.000 wokers to build it in 6 months?

5

Cult_of_Chad t1_ir1k98s wrote

What could AGI do with a mass produced bot like Tesla's Optimus? As I understand it, cognition, not robotics, has been the main roadblock here.

3

Denham1998 t1_ir1zchr wrote

Current Optimus...Next to nothing. What elon wants to achieve with that is at least a decade away. About the same time the singularity happens I think.

3

SalimSaadi t1_irm50si wrote

Yes, but ASI would give you the final design of the robot before you have to spend all those years figuring it out on your own, and then provide you with the necessary software to make it capable of doing what it needs to do. So if ASI came out tomorrow, your "a decade from now" Optimus would be ready to hit the market next year, after the humans finish following the specs and building the factories that make the robots, who from then on then they will be the hands that will take care of both their own maintenance and making more of themselves and carrying out all the other projects. Greetings.

1