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h40er t1_ir8p4va wrote

I’ve mentioned this before, but humans think linearly. It’s hard even for someone like me who has followed this for awhile now to see such rapid and exponential growth. It’s been incredible to see the advancements made in such a short time.

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dreamedio t1_ir8y7av wrote

Still can’t get over the fact we made planes and went to the moon in a 57 year span

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cjeam t1_ir9r8d2 wrote

But we're going to end up having not been back to the moon for longer than that. Some fields stagnate, and hardware is a lot harder to progress.

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cbearmcsnuggles t1_irb0r8s wrote

Also, we had what we thought were good reasons to go in the 60s (to beat the other guy). Nobody else has been really trying to surpass the feat

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dreamedio t1_irb782w wrote

Maybe China should try so that we can spark that race again

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HyperImmune t1_iraz15l wrote

And went to the moon using basically a room sized calculator, something orders of magnitude less powerful than your smart phone.

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SmithMano t1_irbnl85 wrote

I've heard a prediction by some scientist that when we achieve AGI that can improve itself (and soon after, a singularity), there will basically be nobel-prize-winning tier discoveries every few seconds.

What a time to be alive. We're either at the very end of humanity (AI destroys us), or the beginning of some epic shit.

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keefemotif t1_irbdt7b wrote

imho, that's the correct model. We've been moving away from linearity for some time now, arguably from the start of globalization and some would argue industrialization. That being said, lots of proliferation of a known technique isn't exponential growth really, in the core tech.

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