NoRip7374 t1_isqc7qj wrote on October 17, 2022 at 10:24 PM

Reply to comment by manOnPavementWaving in Talked to people minimizing/negating potential AI impact in their field? eg: artists, coders... by kmtrp

No, specifically graphical designs and coding are first thing to go obviously. Initially you will just see bunch of unemployed senior programmers, because it would be much cheaper and easier to hire intern + AI and she/he will be more effective and much, much cheaper than senior. I plan budgets for software projects, trust me i know how upper management thinks in regards of software projects and budgeting.

manOnPavementWaving t1_isqd6kk wrote on October 17, 2022 at 10:32 PM

Not my point, the point was if you've genuinely automated software creation, you've almost immediately automated everything else

NoRip7374 t1_isrrbc6 wrote on October 18, 2022 at 5:43 AM

Software is low hanging fruit because of excellent training data and recent language models progression (namely transformers). It have immens impact and good earning potential. Other areas don't have even close enough of freely available data (open versionig systems). And it looks like training ML models to code is not so hard. Coding will be solved maybe decade before anything else (doctors, laywers, accountants, more messy things without good training data). And there will be no UI in sight, what will we(coders) do then?

visarga t1_it16573 wrote on October 20, 2022 at 4:32 AM

Let your imagination run wild, what will we do when we become more productive - go home or build things we can't even imagine yet? If we still want more than what is possible today, then how can we afford to send people home? So many grand challenges are far from being solved - global warming, space colonisation, poverty, AI implementations, public education ... we still need people for a while.

NoRip7374 t1_it1x5at wrote on October 20, 2022 at 10:36 AM

Hmm, you are making good points i would say. On the other hand when you have radical shift in short amount of time, like we can expect with language models that can code, will industries accommodate in same short amount of time? I don't know the answer.

cwallen t1_isr60tj wrote on October 18, 2022 at 2:20 AM

While I don't doubt that some will try that, generally it'll be the other way around.

At least at first the AI will be only capable of the grunt work that jr level coders do now, not the sr level decision making. Once the AI is capable of doing Sr level work, it'll be PMs driving AI "no code" systems.