Comments
AvgAIbot t1_j21o4jz wrote
Within 10 years I would say
HeinrichTheWolf_17 t1_j22zh43 wrote
2-5. *puts on sunglasses*
blueSGL t1_j22coeu wrote
I honestly don't know if people are not factoring in the investment that is going to start flowing into the sector, now that even the slowest companies can see: 1. how good things have got and 2. how quickly they are evolving.
No one will want to be the last person at the table.
Akimbo333 t1_j22xikm wrote
Make my very own Assassins Creed
ninjasaid13 t1_j24u62p wrote
>Make my very own Assassins Creed
copyright will still exist in the future. You would have to wait until it expires in 2102 at least.
Akimbo333 t1_j255a7l wrote
It'll be fine
ninjasaid13 t1_j24tgw8 wrote
>Maybe 10 to 20 years.
In 5 years it will do 15% of the work, in 10 years it will do 35% of the work in 15 years it will do 60% of the work in 20 years it will do 90% of the work.
EnomLee OP t1_j21io8t wrote
"Soon, Hollywood could be in direct competition with generative AI tools, which, unlike self-driving cars or other long-promised technologies that never quite arrive, are already here and getting better fast. Meta and Google have announced software that converts text prompts into short videos; another tool, Phenaki, can do whole scenes. None of these video generators has been released to the public yet, but the company D-ID offers an AI app that can make people in still photos blink and read from a script, and some have been using it to animate characters created by Midjourney. “In the next few years,” says Matthew Kershaw, D-ID’s VP of marketing and growth, “we could easily see a major movie made almost entirely using AI.” Someday, instead of browsing our Rokus for something to watch, we might green-light our own entertainment by pitching loglines to algorithms that can make feature-length films with sophisticated plots, blockbuster effects, and A-list human actors from any era."
TopicRepulsive7936 t1_j240wwd wrote
>...unlike self-driving cars or other long-promised technologies that never quite arrive...
I fucking hate this attitude.
Mountain-Award7440 t1_j233ipv wrote
It’s crazy how fast these ideas spread in the age of social media. I felt like I was super early coming to this sub and a few of us having these predictions of using AI to generate custom blockbuster films in the near future. A month later the exact same idea and timeline is gaining traction on publications like Vulture.
gavlang t1_j23ivxb wrote
Because it's a credible idea.
XagentVFX t1_j23wey0 wrote
This is the side effect of the Ai Era. Ideas will be harder and harder to capitalize on
calbhollo t1_j265luw wrote
I've been calling AI movies and games for over a decade now, don't take that accomplishment from me! I need it!
Evil_Patriarch t1_j2224v3 wrote
Finally I can give Surf Ninjas the sequel it deserves!
blueSGL t1_j22cy78 wrote
you know it's coming at some point.
TheWilburnness t1_j22hmw7 wrote
Will this sequel answer the age old question of whether or not money can buy knives.
iNstein t1_j21ry2h wrote
There are a few book series I would like to read but I may just wait and then when this tech is around, I'll just feed it the text from these books and get the film generated for me. Billion dollar budget blockbuster equivalent generated just for me.
Also with existing movies, we should be able to feed the movie into the system and then ask for a sequel to be generated. Same style and following up the storyline and themes.
Artanthos t1_j21sxr5 wrote
I doubt it will be legal without licensing fees, if that is an option.
Authors and artists are already turning to the courts. Direct conversion of a specific creators works via AI will almost certainly not pass legal challenges.
rixtil41 t1_j21ul5p wrote
Just don't show or share what the AI created and they will never know. I see this no different than fan art.
rixtil41 t1_j2227g6 wrote
I would spend a billion dollars or most of my money if I won that much money to get it open sorced.
Artanthos t1_j228oge wrote
If it’s running on another company’s computers, they are going to be responsible for policing what is created.
iNstein t1_j23pcmr wrote
The idea is for personal use only, not selling it to anyone. If I read the book and imagine what it is like in that world, I'm not going to be sued, I just have an aide to help me with my imagination. Honestly, I don't live in the US and courts don't accept bs copyright claims here so I don't see that as an issue at all.
Artanthos t1_j24e9ob wrote
The AI itself won’t be on your system, and it will be regulated.
Even if you live somewhere like China that doesn’t enforce copyright, you will still need access to the AI that is subject to copyright laws.
China, meanwhile, is already regulating AI generated content.
biogoly t1_j24jh1a wrote
Why couldn’t it be on a local system? These models are all going to have open sourced equivalents eventually. Even massive models like GPT-3 could be run locally by an enthusiast, or a small group collaborative effort. It will only get cheaper in the future. Same goes for model training. You can’t close Pandora’s box.
Artanthos t1_j24mwgg wrote
This goes right back to closed systems.
The companies with the advanced AI’s are not going to give you copies to run on your private computer.
It’s going to be software as a service.
SmoothPlastic9 t1_j23hi1k wrote
Real steel 2...
TheSecretAgenda t1_j22eoju wrote
I think you will see this technology by the end of the decade. Not for personal use but, movie studios are going to snap this up as soon as it is available. Animation first but, then live action. Everyone that works in Hollywood will be at risk.
wildechld t1_j22l0i7 wrote
I'll just be happy to see all the pompous, overpaid, self entitled rich actors/actresses at the same level as everyone else.
ChicagoSeb_Art t1_j24a1ob wrote
Not only them, but also any pompous, self entitled, asshole suit-n-tie execs as well.
wildechld t1_j27l2uj wrote
All of em. Every god damn last one of em!!!
TemetN t1_j25ivw1 wrote
I agree with the title premise, but the articles discussion of attempts to attack the public over copyright if anything disturbs me. I'm entirely fine with AI remaining outside copyright honestly, or just doing away with the system in general.
Longjumping_Pilgirm t1_j25vywr wrote
I can't wait to plug in some of the best fanfiction ever written and see it come out as a great movie or tv series out the other end. First thing I might put in is Battlestar Prometheus.
Quealdlor t1_j23rqfb wrote
I don't think it will be soon.
[deleted] t1_j21oz6h wrote
[removed]
leonidganzha t1_j22ffcj wrote
>generative AI tools, which, unlike self-driving cars or other long-promised technologies that never quite arrive, are already here and getting better fast
Self-driving has been here for years and has been getting better the whole time. The problem is it's not a toy and it has a more or less long way to go to get good enough. AI generated art is also far from being good enough, but because nobody cares about what is good art, it has a very low bar.
Speaking seriously, of course AI is not a competitor to Hollywood, it's a competitor to the tools VFX studios currently use, like Adobe suite, Maya, Blender etc. And the developers of these tools are currently working on incorporating AI stuff into them. So the same Hollywood studios will be the first to adopt new AI tools, not some random dudes with gaming GPUs.
hendrix320 t1_j23exgk wrote
I think the big difference between AI and self driving cars is safety. One can kill people the other not so much. So it makes sense that self driving cars would be a slower progression
Akimbo333 t1_j22xupa wrote
I agree but I give 10-15 years before the average consumer is able to use it.
Johnny_Glib t1_j21mt7s wrote
Also making our own video games as well.
Not sure it'll be soon though. Maybe 10 to 20 years. Exciting when it happens.