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Jaded-Protection-402 t1_j64mprs wrote

Reply to comment by AdorableBackground83 in What does singularity look like to you? by [deleted]

Why do you put it around 2050 so confidently?

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ShadowRazz t1_j64qo5g wrote

It’s a date far enough in the future to seem far away but close enough that he can expect to live long enough to see it.

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Jaded-Protection-402 t1_j64w4bj wrote

Thought so too, it’s not based on any real life expertise or scientific predictions

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AdorableBackground83 t1_j64pquy wrote

It’s mostly a wild guess. I don’t want to be too optimistic to the point to where I’m delusional or out of touch with reality like some people in this community thinking it will happen in a couple years or something.

I think AGI can be accomplished by 2030 and then the next 10+ years after that is anyone’s guess.

But like I said the sooner the better and I like to be proven wrong.

When do you think the Singularity will happen?

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Jaded-Protection-402 t1_j64wja3 wrote

Don’t wanna be rude but you kinda don’t know what you’re talking about. In one breath you’re saying 2050, in another breath you say that AGI will be accomplished by 2030. What makes you think it would take 20 years to go from AGI to singularity?

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AdorableBackground83 t1_j64zfm6 wrote

Ok so when do you think this shit will happen?

20 years? 50 years? 500 years? Never?

I’m basing my analysis on exponential growth of technologies. I’m not exactly extremely knowledgeable on the AI field nor do I have any credentials but then again neither do you probably.

So please answer my question. When do you think the Singularity will happen?

If you don’t have an answer then kick rocks.

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fastinguy11 t1_j66m0e9 wrote

the guy before you is right from AGI to singularity it makes no sense for it to take 20 years. AGI should be able to design SGI which will also design even better a.i.

now when AGI happens ? i am going to go with Kurzweil and say somewhere between 2028 and 2032

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AdorableBackground83 t1_j66uiyc wrote

Like I said I HOPE I AM WRONG and that things happen faster than my predictions.

If AGI does occur in 2030 and Singularity occurs 5 years later in 2035 then I would be happy as a clown.

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