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_dekappatated OP t1_j5qiit7 wrote

All previous growth looked pretty linear, this is a sharp rise compared to the steady growth previously. I wouldn't be surprised if we continue to see exponential growth over the next few years as more consumer AI products are released to the public.

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Surur t1_j5qki0u wrote

The singularity in members lol

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[deleted] t1_j5rftrn wrote

[deleted]

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LoquaciousAntipodean t1_j5s0qnd wrote

You say that as a joke, but that's pretty much exactly the sort of simple fallacy that besets so many of these smug geniuses, with all their haughty moaning about the 'rabble' getting dirt all over the carpet in their ivory towers.

Doomers, evangelists, or paternalistic smug 'academics', so many of them seem to be basically saying :

"AI is literally magic like the world simply cannot ever understand!!! It will be huge and singular, like the God of Moses, and will immediately start taking over the world (??? Somehow?!?) just as soon as it passes some arbitrary 'threshold' of this solipsisitic 'raw intelligence power level' thing!!!! We need to start panicking and screaming louder, right now!!!!"
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SoylentRox t1_j5sjtg3 wrote

I mean nuclear weapons are real and they had a powerful effect on history.

In 1944 as a member of the public how would the capabilities describe sound to you?

"Oh yeah some special rocks we found and a lot of chemistry will let us annihilate a whole country in 30 minutes. If we had nukes on V2 missiles right now we could defeat the Nazis and the soviets in 30 minutes, leaving all of them dead, with every single city they have turned to rubble"

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vivehelpme t1_j5tb6os wrote

For factual accuracy the V2 rockets were a german weapon so if you had nukes on them you'd be defeating the commies and allies in 30 minutes.

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LoquaciousAntipodean t1_j5tekgj wrote

Pardon? What has any of that got to do with AI? Remind me again when nuclear weapons became a widespread and accessible hobby amongst the general public in an extremely rapid way, I don't remember that.

And apparenly there was the time nuclear weapons mysteriously became 'too powerful' for us to 'handle', and suddenly tried to turn all our atoms into more nukes? Hum, I must have missed that one in school.

Edit: also, your description of nukes would have been laughable to an actual vaguely-knowledgeable 1940's person, say a chemistry teacher or an engineer of artillery, someone like that. Neither uranium nor rocketry were totally unknown and 'magical' to the people of the time, any more than AI or quantum computing are magical to us now.

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TallOutside6418 t1_j5uny3y wrote

So when Einstein wrote that letter to Roosevelt - telling him of the likelihood that a chain reaction could be created using Uranium to release massive amounts of energy - that was old news? I wonder why Einstein wasted his time telling the president what some high school chemistry teacher already knew all about?

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maskedpaki t1_j5v2s8j wrote

maybe because the president didnt know high school chemistry

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carl sagan also had to explain global warming to politicians.

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Human-Ad9798 t1_j5uuctm wrote

Gotta be the dumbest comment

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LoquaciousAntipodean t1_j5xgucq wrote

And you gotta be the dumbest commenter. Do you have any actual point you want to make, or do you just drive-by snipe at people to try and make yourself look clever?

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TallOutside6418 t1_j5uq5m1 wrote

It’s not “exactly the sort of simple fallacy” you imagine. The number of people who could be members of this group is fundamentally finite.

Intelligence is not, as far as we can ascertain, finite.

An AGI will not only have integral access to the billion-times speed up for basic operations (sorting lists, counting, mathematical functions, etc.) but it will be able to adjust its programming (or neural weights and connections) on the fly.

Human beings will be outstripped in no time at a level that will be incomprehensible to us.

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vernes1978 t1_j5sz1en wrote

At this rate, by 2045 we'll reach sentience.

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ginger_gcups t1_j5tiq55 wrote

Proof of AI entities being created at an exponential rate?

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blxoom t1_j5tzy2x wrote

if you consider agi or asi beings "members" then you might be right.

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civilrunner t1_j5qxcto wrote

Honestly I just hope it doesn't become another arr futurology. I always find when subs get too large they get more and more filled with doomers and then I always have to find a new sub.

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vivehelpme t1_j5tbfxy wrote

>arr futurology

Climate doomers and green-tech news report central. I'm more disappointed every time I look into that sub.

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Mohevian t1_j5sxl2w wrote

To be fair, Carmack just sunk his last $50 million into Keen Industries, to make GOFAI.

The guy practically invented 3D Software as we know it; and pretty much all of his endeavors were about a decade too soon for mass market hardware support.

If that's the case, the singularity can be no further out than 2035, at the latest.

People just want to hop on the bus early and see if there is any money to be made once all employment/human thought is rendered completely obsolete.

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KamikazeArchon t1_j600sc5 wrote

Don't overestimate causal relationships with any actual events. The sub started showing up on the default front page. That leads to a bunch of new users for any sub regardless of anything else.

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