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will-succ-4-guac t1_j3rnmm4 wrote

Reply to comment by Equivalent-Ice-7274 in 2023 Predictions (BUT WITH A POLL!!!) by AgginSwaggin

In 2013 most experts were saying “hundreds of years”?? We need a fuckin source on that one bro

Given that you already ignored one request for a source I’m guessing you’ll ignor this one too?

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Equivalent-Ice-7274 t1_j3rpeec wrote

Bro, I am an OG armchair futurist from back in the original KurzweilAI forum days, we saw tons of articles from physicists, scientists, engineers, programmers, philosophers, and other experts. I don’t have the time to research that stuff, as I am focusing on researching how to survive, and live a prosperous life in the coming age of AGI.

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will-succ-4-guac t1_j3rplii wrote

If you go that far back in the AI world you are certainly aware of selection bias, recall bias and response bias, all of which influence what you just said. So it’s not that the “majority” of experts said it would take hundreds of years.. It’s the majority of experts peopel felt like talking about on a forum you were a part of, that you happen to remember, and that people happened to respond to.

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