I don't think 2024 will be nearly as good. TLOU Season 2 won't be ready by then, The White Lotus with its anthology format runs the risk of not being consistently good year to year, Euphoria will probably be back but that show's reception is waning, HBO's new project The Idol is apparently a shitshow from all the rumours. HBO's 2024 nominees could just be HOTD Season 2 only.

I don't disagree though about subscriber numbers coming first. My only caveat would be that there are usually lulls in a cable network's release schedule where there isn't alot of new content for a couple months. If there isn't a whole lot ready for the 2nd half of 2023 then it's not the worst idea to move things around.