Rupee races to replace dollar: Egypt latest entrant to club of countries wanting to trade in INR
firstpost.comSubmitted by CoolestGuyOnSaturn t3_124qxgw in worldnews
Egypt needs another six ship loads of rice, which could weigh over 1.5 lakh tonnes, it has sought to make the payment in INR
EyeLikeTheStonk t1_je0ozd7 wrote
Not a good idea... India's currency has consistently lost value to other currencies since India's independence in 1947.
In the past ten years, in 2013, 53 Rupees were required to buy 1 USD, in 2023, 82 Rupees are required to buy 1 USD.
In 1947, only 3.3 Rupees were required to purchase 1 USD... So in the last 76 years, the Rupee lost 96% of its value compared to the USD.
In the same period, since 1947, the Canadian Dollar (CAD) only lost 27% of its value and nobody is suggesting making the CAD into a reserve currency.
Any Indian investor whop spent his Rupees buying American dollars 10 years ago has gained a 54.7% profit. That's a solid 5.5% yearly gain. That is more than the average yearly 4.4% stock market return over the last 10 years. The Rupee cannot even beat the stock market...
What if India and China get involved in an armed conflict?
to know what would happen to the Rupee, just look at what happened to the UAH (Ukraine), in 2014 and in 2022 because of the 2 Russian invasions, over 10 years it lost 83% of its value... (source).
So if China and India get into an armed conflict, which they are likely to do, expect the value of the Rupee to be cut by half within days of the start of the conflict.
Making the Rupee into a reserve currency is dumb since it has always consistently lost value compared to other currencies because the goal of a reserve currency is to hold the one currency that does not lose value while all other currencies collapse.
Switching to the Rupee is a recipe for complete and utter economic disasters for those who move away from the USD.