Cubusphere
Cubusphere t1_j6mwvrm wrote
Reply to comment by AlanZero in TIL about cargo cults, where indigenous people of small tropical islands would perform elaborate rituals to mimic air traffic control and marching patterns after witnessing airplanes drop supplies on airforce bases during world war II. by sciencedit
Never watched the show. Even wikipedia links to that episode :)
>This article is about the informal fallacy. For the West Wing episode, see Post Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc (The West Wing). For other uses, see Post hoc.
Cubusphere t1_j6mwefg wrote
Reply to comment by fungussa in A dire forecast: Scientists used AI to find planet could cross critical warming threshold sooner than expected by fungussa
Often, yes. When your findings are so gloomy that "we might as well give up" becomes an expected response, you're going to do best-case followed by "this is how we can still turn this around". The last part is swiftly ignored, rinse and repeat.
Cubusphere t1_j6muzy8 wrote
Reply to comment by fungussa in A dire forecast: Scientists used AI to find planet could cross critical warming threshold sooner than expected by fungussa
Hopium, less funds for undesired results, missing big picture and trying to condense complex systems too far.
It's a well known pattern, no conspiracy.
Cubusphere t1_j6mu487 wrote
Reply to A dire forecast: Scientists used AI to find planet could cross critical warming threshold sooner than expected by fungussa
It's always "sooner than expected" because scientists are incentivised to publish best-case scenarios. I wonder why...
Cubusphere t1_j6mt9dj wrote
Reply to TIL about cargo cults, where indigenous people of small tropical islands would perform elaborate rituals to mimic air traffic control and marching patterns after witnessing airplanes drop supplies on airforce bases during world war II. by sciencedit
It's a great example of the fallacious conclusion that when two things happen one after another, the first must have caused the second."Post hoc ergo propter hoc"
Another could be rain dances.
- It's dry, so we try to appease the gods/spirits/whatever.
- After Bill danced for a day, it started raining.
- Bill's dance made it rain.
Cubusphere t1_j6mq5xh wrote
Reply to comment by [deleted] in ELI5: If drinking salt water further dehydrates the body, why is saline used to treated dehydration? by Dartualexmachina
No. Saline is exactly what your body needs in terms of water and sodium chloride (table salt), sea water is way too much salt, distilled water a bit too little.
Cubusphere t1_j68t3en wrote
Reply to Germany says it is not a warring party in Ukraine | Russia has deliberately misinterpreted a remark by the German foreign minister for propaganda purposes, Berlin says. by misana123
Russia didn't even declare war on Ukraine, so what are they gonna do but pretend diplomacy and send their hackers to attack Germany.
Cubusphere t1_is0h0ui wrote
Critics call it the "Hyperpoop"
Cubusphere t1_irwxx65 wrote
Reply to PsBattle: Gargoyle with icicle in its mouth by monkey616
This is what it looks like when you have an idea but no clue how to do it (unfinished, gave up):
Cubusphere t1_irwqe9w wrote
Reply to PsBattle: Joe Manchin and a Mothman Statue by winitheju
​
PS: Please don't mention where that's from to prevent spoilers
Cubusphere t1_irvf2pq wrote
Cubusphere t1_irv4r71 wrote
Cubusphere t1_irunlva wrote
Reply to PsBattle: This spooked owl by Diggity_Dave
Cubusphere t1_irukaj8 wrote
Reply to PsBattle: This spooked owl by Diggity_Dave
Cubusphere t1_irudjco wrote
Cubusphere t1_iru48k7 wrote
Cubusphere t1_irr8ktm wrote
Cubusphere t1_irr1pge wrote
Cubusphere t1_irqr5ee wrote
Reply to comment by AlexandriaLitehouse in PsBattle: this yawning cat by nopomegranates97
Not really satisfied with the result, but here's my try: Top level comment
Cubusphere t1_irqr21p wrote
Cubusphere t1_irqinjz wrote
Cubusphere t1_irqeay0 wrote
Reply to comment by DangerDove in PsBattle: Pankocat rolling on a pool table by DangerDove
:) This is the fifth cat shop in a row. I need to get a life.
Cubusphere t1_j6mxw3d wrote
Reply to comment by fungussa in A dire forecast: Scientists used AI to find planet could cross critical warming threshold sooner than expected by fungussa
Yes, I was pointing out why often things seem to happen/are predicted "earlier than expected", because they were forecast best-case before. Sorry, I was not clear about that at all, I see now.