KP_Wrath

KP_Wrath t1_jdm5dlx wrote

Reply to comment by katarina-stratford in Tornado hits western Mississippi as storms knock out power for thousands. A town is 'gone,' resident says | CNN by A179E49GFZ68722R23

There’s warning in the sense that “it can happen.” There was a moderate issued with a significant severe chance. For a tornado, that means there’s a 15% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a given point, and a 10% chance (or more) that the tornado will be EF2 or higher (strong to intense). For an area that big, there were almost certainly going to be tornadoes, including 1 or 2 significant tornadoes. Question then becomes where do they happen? In this case, they fit pretty neatly in the moderate area aside from whatever shakes out of Florence, AL. That was the enhanced area. As others have said, not everyone has access to a shelter. In my case, I watched a movie while it did whatever it was going to do.

Tl;Dr: there’s warning in the sense of “it’s going to happen somewhere and it’s probably going to be strong or intense in an area or two. There is no “it’s going to happen HERE; it’s going to be THIS INTENSE.”

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KP_Wrath t1_jdm4nb3 wrote

Reply to comment by ApostropheD in Tornado hits western Mississippi as storms knock out power for thousands. A town is 'gone,' resident says | CNN by A179E49GFZ68722R23

Yup. Tornadoes are formed due to atmospheric rotation where high and low pressure meet. Daytime heating has an impact on intensity. I’m north of where the tornadoes hit. An early round of storms got us from 80 to 59. Had lightening, had 50-70 mph gusts. Took out a few business signs. But it probably saved us from any truly terrible damage.

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