MNFuturist

MNFuturist t1_je2isvz wrote

I've been a professional futurist for 10+ years helping my clients with emerging tech and trends, and the one constant across industries has been "... but it could never do my job." I get it though, if you spent your whole career getting really good at something, respected by your peers, earning a good living, etc., it's really difficult to accept that it could suddenly be automated (or even partially automated.) We're about to see a lot more of this in many areas where people felt "safe" and like they had a long time to adapt and now they don't. It's going to be rough. (Btw, I have no illusions that my career as a keynote speaker is safe.)

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MNFuturist t1_j14shjd wrote

The near-term problem isn't AI replacing careers 1:1 (eg. the AI doing everything a person does in their job.) It's an AI slowly replacing each of the 100+ sub-functions of each job. Death by a 1,000 cuts, not one-shot, one-kill. The pool of remaining functions that only humans can do gets smaller and smaller (even with a few new ones added along the way) and the "human" roles keep getting recombined into what's left that only they can do. That's why the whole "augmentation not replacement" argument is garbage. The net result is fewer humans working.

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