FIFA World Cup 2022 saw a surprising number of unlikely match outcomes. Here's a way to estimate how exceptional it was. I simulate an experiment when I bet on the least likely outcomes. Surprisingly this dead-simple strategy is beneficial [OC] Submitted by ikashnitsky t3_zv556w on December 25, 2022 at 7:47 PM in dataisbeautiful No comments 2
Football betting experiment: what if I consistently bet against the odds, on the least likely match outcome? This is the English Premier League. What happened in 2019/20? (sorry for the third similar post, I test different competitions incrementally after the jaw-dropping World Cups' results) [OC] Submitted by ikashnitsky t3_ziojgj on December 11, 2022 at 11:25 AM in dataisbeautiful 29 comments 49
Average goals scored per game played at the World Cups — there used to be more goals in the past; since 1962 no World Cup averaged at more than 3 goals per game [OC] Submitted by ikashnitsky t3_zbsn4m on December 3, 2022 at 10:25 PM in dataisbeautiful 18 comments 74
Were there too many sensations in the group-stage games at the FIFA World Cup in Qatar? What if I bet the same amount against the odds in all the group-stage games? WOW – I would have finished the experiment with a net profit of almost 48 coins! [OC] Submitted by ikashnitsky t3_zbfu8j on December 3, 2022 at 1:05 PM in dataisbeautiful 26 comments 82