kearsargeII

kearsargeII t1_jakvt5s wrote

Mount Major isn’t exactly like hiking in the Whites. It is low elevation, far below treeline, and a fairly short hike. I honestly wouldn’t consider it much more risky than any walk in the NH woods, though the top can get a bit exposed. Unless the weather is truly atrocious, I would think that anyone with the right equipment, ie winter clothes, micro spikes, would have no real difficulty summiting.

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kearsargeII t1_j9od93d wrote

In his “defense” I don’t think he is a pedo, in that I don’t think it was meant sexually. Not that it matters much as it is still sexual harassment, of course. Rather I think he is an attention seeking manchild and all around piece of work who gets off on reactions after saying things that disgust others.

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kearsargeII t1_j8u7bk3 wrote

Whitewashed as fuck.

Literally the only reason why there were no deaths in this situation was because the Marshalls made a calculated decision to attempt to negotiate a peaceful arrest, decided against storming the place after seeing reports of IEDs and poor cover, and ended up arresting the couple by sneaking in undercover. This is all greatly to their credit, probably the best possible outcome to this scenario that nobody ended up getting my killed.

Gerhard did absolutely fuck all to make it peaceful. He built pipe bombs for the Browns. He was arrested with parts, there were dozens of IEDs on the property, to the point where it took years for the property to be deemed safe to auction afterwards. He repeatedly made statements that he personally would use deadly force to defend the Browns. He did bring food for them, but that was far from the limit of his activities.

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kearsargeII t1_j8t7qj3 wrote

Jason Gerhard is a living example of someone who really shouldn’t own guns but would legally be allowed under this bill. Technically a nonviolent crime until you peel away the tax fraud conviction to show that he was arrested with pipe bombs that he was planning on using as IEDs against police arresting the Browns. The only reason he is currently out of prison is the feds changing mandatory minimum sentencing around explosives. He is basically a living gotcha for his own bill, an contrived set of circumstances seemingly designed to argue that his own bill is a bad idea.

The only way I could come up with a stronger argument against his proposed bills would be to target the absolutely batshit proposed three strikes rule for violent crimes, in which someone could kill two people and still legally be allowed to own guns.

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kearsargeII t1_j8t641m wrote

Ignoring the specific charges he got, I would think that he should not constitutionally be able to hold office at all. His direct aid to the Browns in their standoff in my mind should fall under section 3 of the 14th amendment, which prohibits anyone who attempts to rebel against the federal government, or provides aid to rebels, from federal or state legislatures. He didn’t built bombs because he was getting monetary kickbacks, he did it for batshit ideological reasons, the Browns by their own words thought they were leading a militia movement against a corrupt government, so I would think that it would apply in theory.

Practically, not sure that this should apply to a conviction of aiding tax fraud.

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kearsargeII t1_j6pee7a wrote

While technically this guy was nonviolent, practically he was arrested with pipe bombs that he was planning on smuggling into the Ed and Elain Brown compound, presumably to use as booby traps when the feds came in to take possession of that compound to pay back taxes. Like seriously, this guy is like the most violent nonviolent offender imaginable, and had things gone slightly differently, in ways beyond his control, mind you, he would be serving life without parole.

Edit: for how this could go differently. Step 1. The feds decide to storm the compound instead of using trickery, and someone dies to a pipe bomb booby trap Gerhard made. That is literally all that is needed to turn this guy into a violent offender, and make sure that he spends his whole life in prison.

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kearsargeII t1_j6jdbkl wrote

Except it isn’t even his reason on paper. His reason on paper will always be pivoting to the opioid crisis for a random nonsequitor about how hard it is hitting the state and how that means weed should remain recreationally illegal here. There is zero evidence he has given any thought to some sort of plan of selling it in liquor stores.

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kearsargeII t1_j394cuc wrote

This comes up every time, and I find it extremely dubious. I like the idea of the state selling, I just really, really doubt it is the reason it is not recreationally legal here. It is not legal here as Sununu and Hassan personally vetoed recreational legalization legislation every time it came across their desks. To hear Sununu talk, weed is a gateway drug given that he will bring up the opioid crisis every time this comes up. There is zero sign that he is waiting on federal legalization so it can be sold in state liquor stores.

Legalization has never had a veto proof majority, because our State House heavily favors out of touch retirees. I give it zero chance that the people regularly voting against recreational legalization are secretly waiting for it to become legal federally. Instead I think the 40~ish percent of the state legislatures that are against it are against it for far less forward-looking reasons, probably more knee-jerk anti-drug votes

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kearsargeII t1_j2nuwn0 wrote

A fox? Better evacuate the whole area.

A fox running through your backyard is pretty harmless to anything that is not a chicken or a very small pet. If it is hanging around, or behaving oddly, then it might be cause for concern, but fearmongering about one passing through is pretty pointless.

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kearsargeII t1_j2b4v2a wrote

The science on Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation shutdown happening is a bit iffy, not in that it is bad science, but rather that it requires a pretty specific set of circumstances, a meltwater pulse at just the right time, that isn't that likely to happen, with global warming. Way more likely to happen is a slight weakening in the circulation, which just slows the rate of warming for a few years. Anyways, North America would not be that heavily affected, it would be the western shore of Europe that would face the bulk of the effects.

It definitely wouldn't kickstart the next ice age, if that is what you are implying. The Younger Dryas occurred with a much weaker Milankovitch forcing, kicking off an feedback loop of cooling temperatures is more or less impossible even if the AMOC shuts down completely under current conditions. Worst case scenario for an AMOC shutdown is temperatures dropping in the UK and the Norwegian coast by up to 10 degrees, elsewhere in Europe by less than half that, and not really affecting North America much as prevailing weather patterns are from the west here. It definitely would not stop global warming.

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kearsargeII t1_iwo1qa2 wrote

ITT: a bunch of morons humiliating themselves by rambling about “democrats recounting until they win.” Democrats couldn’t bother rigging the state senate, the executive council, and the governorship positions that have actual power in the state., but there is clearly a secret cabal plotting to flip induvidual NH house seats for that sweet couple of hundred dollars a year salary.

With a couple more percentage points, the democrats would have swept the executive council given how competitive most of the seats there are, and made actual gains in the state senate, catapulting the state party into actual power in NH, but they were clearly too busy focusing on rigging a handful of state house results to bother. Actual intelligent thought would make these people realize how fucking stupid they sound.

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kearsargeII t1_ivk8lhe wrote

Regarding your edit. You cannot drive up this time of year, as the road closed a few weeks ago. Also for what it is worth, hiking Mansfield in freakishly warm November weather is very different from hiking Washington in weather that might be nowhere near as warm. Washington is far more exposed for far longer, and temperatures can get much colder/windier than anything Mansfield can get.

I also did some hiking last week, it was basically summer temperatures up in the mountains. Now that the weather is changed it could be a whole different hike, and could be pretty serious.

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kearsargeII t1_iuaw0cv wrote

It is beyond clear to me that you don’t have the slightest idea of what you are talking about.

Anti discrimination laws only apply to protected classes, like on the basis of race, age over 40, or sex. A company can legally discriminate against someone on the basis of political belief or just straight up thinking they are dumb. The whole cake case was because they were refused because they were homosexual when sexuality is a protected class. Saying stupid shit is not one, and companies are free to associate how they wish with those people. To make those laws relevant, Kauffman would have to prove in court that his twitter ban was because he was white or straight or something along those lines, not because of things that he expressed on the site, and good luck with that.

Again, the first amendment only applies to the government. A private entity is free to choose which speech can appear. A public venue that is privately owned can choose who goes there as much as they want, provided it isn’t in the count of protected class. Theaters are not forced to have some random drunk dude come up on stage, concert halls can decide who they want to have preform. Newspapers can refuse to publish an opinion article. A public message board on private land can remove whatever messages they wish.

Section 230 just removes the publisher from liability on what is published, it does not magically make it so anyone can post what they want. It extends zero rights for people using the service, and it’s existence says nothing about what social media even is. For that matter, if section 230 was in fact repealed, social media sites would have to take a hard line in removing content as to not remove something that leads to criminal acts would open them up to liability, and erring on the site of extreme caution would be the only way to remain solvent.

And Lm fucking AO at that last sentence. Even assuming for a moment that there was a government owned social media site, complaining about someone’s post to admins would fall under free speech. At very best there might be a libel case there if the evidence was totally fabricated, but if it is a matter of opinion there is absolutely fucking zero standing for Kauffman to have a rights violation case against someone for saying something should be done about their posts. To even rule on this, provided there was no outwardly false info, would be a violation of the reporters first amendment rights. This opinion is so fucking stupid I reported your post to make a point. I hope to see from you soon when you get hit with a SLAPP judgement for trying to sue me for this.

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kearsargeII t1_iua3bvm wrote

Companies by definition cannot violate someone’s first amendment rights, as there is no requirement for companies to be forced to support speech they do not like. It is the equivalent of kicking someone off your property if they are causing a scene, as they have full right to do whatever they want with their property.

The only entity that the first amendment applies to is the government. In literally any other case, there is no expectation that someone is required to give you a platform on their property, and no expectation that people are required to listen to it.

If Kaufman tries to sue, it would be thrown out as frivolous more or less immediately, particularly when twitter shows in its TOS that they can remove anyone for any reason. Same for Reddit. Reddit is not the government. They have full rights over who is and isn’t allowed to use their property. If you want to say things that Reddit does not want, make your own platform.

For that matter what actually might be a violation of first amendment rights would be the government cracking down on people who report things on Twitter, which would be a violation of their first amendment rights. The very idea of being able to sue an individual who “violated first amendment rights” by reporting someone on Twitter is batshit insane, as the idea that someone could violate first amendment rights by exercising their own is assbackwards.

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kearsargeII t1_iu6vnfj wrote

I would not suggest winter hiking beyond low elevation hikes unless you have some serious winter hiking experience. Full winter clothing and microspikes are an absolute must. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, and retreat immediately if the weather takes a turn for the worse. Weather above treeline can be lethal that time of year, even to experienced hikers. That being said, there are tons of lower elevation snowshoe trails out of places like Jackson, Waterville Valley and Bretton Woods, and a plethora of low to mid elevation hikes everywhere in the whites. Suggest looking into /r/wmnf for more specific hiking related advice.

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kearsargeII t1_iu4s8q2 wrote

If Jeremy is saying shit that is offensive enough to ban, then might as well ban the NH libertarian party twitter account as it is his sock puppet. As best I can tell, he is the guy behind it, to the point where the stupid shit that account has said nearly split the national libertarian party in an attempt to keep Kauffman from using it. Kauffman won that bit of intraparty infighting, so everything the account has said in the last couple of years probably comes from him.

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kearsargeII t1_iu49xew wrote

Yeah, but NH-1 is a tossup district, and Pappas is doing about as good as he could do in that race as per that poll. Kuster has won by double digits in previous races, and other polls seem to support this. If NH-2 was leaning republican by that much, then both the senate and NH-1 should be blowout victories for republicans. That they are not suggests something weird is going on with demographics that they are predicting a crazy 11 point shift in lean in one race but basically nothing in the other when Kuster hasn’t had any big scandals and Burns isn’t really in the news enough for him to attract new voters.

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