lightscameracrafty
lightscameracrafty t1_j43oveg wrote
Reply to comment by Surur in From 300 GW to 3,000 GW per year – a utopia? by manual_tranny
> for some reason
Bad math education. Nobody understands exponential curves. They’re just hard to fathom if you weren’t explicitly taught them (well) in school.
Evidence: the pandemic
lightscameracrafty t1_iuirk0a wrote
Reply to comment by ThePrem in New solar capacity 10 times cheaper than gas, says intelligence company Rystad by EnergyTransitionNews
You’re shifting the goalposts. Plenty of NY homes are electrifying now, especially because it ends up being more cost effective than gas. The fact that gas prices keep hopping off the rails here every winter while solar is getting cheaper and cheaper is only going to exacerbate this trend.
> electric heat is less efficient
Please source this assertion as it flies entirely against the prevailing scientific consensus.
> cold/dark
Again, this is nothing but a hollow truism and completely ignores the last couple of decades in building science and scientific achievement in PV. Sorry but it just doesn’t seem like you have any idea what you’re talking about.
lightscameracrafty t1_iuhzj7j wrote
Reply to comment by ThePrem in New solar capacity 10 times cheaper than gas, says intelligence company Rystad by EnergyTransitionNews
> heating a house in NY in February
Lol what? It’s not only theoretically possible, it actually gets done in that state and in even colder climates all the time.
lightscameracrafty t1_iuhz4uq wrote
Reply to comment by Kinexity in New solar capacity 10 times cheaper than gas, says intelligence company Rystad by EnergyTransitionNews
> solar is day only
Not with batteries and other storage mechanisms.
> proportional to the amount of sun
It will definitely require a lot more physical space for the arrays than gas costs, but the tech is much cheaper so you can make up for limits in uptake by laying down more PV.
> you can’t just replace gas with solar
You could. Either way no one’s trying to do that - instead the goal is to replace gas with solar, wind, geothermal, and nuclear together.
lightscameracrafty t1_iugh5ig wrote
Reply to comment by OriginalCompetitive in New solar capacity 10 times cheaper than gas, says intelligence company Rystad by EnergyTransitionNews
Care to provide some sources because that is not even close to the consensus view in the data I’ve seen.
lightscameracrafty t1_iugf1zt wrote
Reply to comment by sziehr in New solar capacity 10 times cheaper than gas, says intelligence company Rystad by EnergyTransitionNews
that seems like not a particularly huge issue given that battery tech seems to be evolving at the same rapid click as renewables.
lightscameracrafty t1_iugewcp wrote
Reply to comment by n3w4cc01_1nt in New solar capacity 10 times cheaper than gas, says intelligence company Rystad by EnergyTransitionNews
That took a Herculean effort by the Biden admin tho, and there’s no guarantee OPEC, especially Saudi Arabia, is going to play ball again.
Besides it’s an apples to oranges comparison: solar is a technology while gas is a finite commodity. The first is only going to get cheaper as it scales and evolves, while the former is only going to get more expensive. That’s why the writing’s on the wall for carbon energy.
lightscameracrafty OP t1_iu4dw16 wrote
Reply to comment by memberjan6 in Beyond Catastrophe: A New Climate Reality Is Coming Into View by lightscameracrafty
This is how I know you didn’t bother to read the article.
lightscameracrafty OP t1_iu2knii wrote
Submission Statement:
A new UN report predicts warming this century will fall between 2 and 3 degrees — this is a dreadful miss from our 1.5 degree goal that would have allowed us to continue our lives with relative normalcy, but also much much lower than the 4-5 degree apocalypse that was heralded even just a few years ago: “we have cut expected warming almost in half in just five years.” Neither normal nor apocalyptic - the future lies, frustratingly, somewhere in the middle.
This article also makes the case that we are hurtling rapidly towards a decarbonized future: renewables prices have plummeted over the last decade at an astonishing, almost miraculous, rate. Investment in green energy has officially outpaced investment in dirty energy for the first time this year — one paper estimates that a faster decarbonization process stands to make the world “trillions of dollars richer by 2050.”
At the same time, Wallace-Wells also makes the case that as amazing as this progress is, it’s simply not enough. A third of Pakistan is underwater. Hundreds died due to heat waves in Pheonix alone this summer - thousands in the UK, Spain and Portugal. “Even if temperature rise is limited to two degrees….the extremes might be what you would have projected for four or five.”
He echoes the warning of the IPCC last February: we were focusing too much on near-term amelioration rather than “transformational adaptation” and relocation - especially as “hard limits to adaptation have already been reached in some ecosystems” even as we seem to continue to populate them (cough Florida).
“What will the world look like at 2 degrees? Disruption and upheaval at every level. Suffering and injustice. Innovation too…and some new prosperity.”
Edit: I see no one is going to bother to actually read the article lol
lightscameracrafty t1_j43p0q9 wrote
Reply to comment by phaj19 in From 300 GW to 3,000 GW per year – a utopia? by manual_tranny
> we still do not have good energy storage
We don’t need it to be good, we just need it to scale and develop at the same rate as PV…which by all measures it seems to be doing.