I’m not worried, but I do expect everything to change. Many people think their job is too difficult to automate, but I don’t believe that will be proven to be the case.

When we add AI to the cloud and modern software development tools, we find that AI will be able to quickly do some amazing things.

Please note that I am not talking about just ChatGPT, I believe within 5 to 10 years cloud providers could offer a way to create many complex systems in the cloud.

Sure, but the AI will be able to handle those tasks as well.

The design and engineering primarily comes from the requirements. If you specify that it should utilize a CDN, AWS, Azure, scale to 10 million monthly active users, have user dashboards, etc, the AI should take those factors into account.

Eventually it will be trusted to handle all aspects.

It can do that because it will do what you ask. There’s enough code out there today to know what inputs it’ll need for virtually any piece of software. If you don’t like it you’ll just tell it what you want changed.

Changes are a big deal for human development teams, but will be nothing when all the work can be completed in a couple hours.

We aren’t there yet, but with focus it’ll be possible very soon (within a few years).

Most of the work that software engineers do has been done before. It’s all just web forms and fairly simple algorithms (yes I am over simplifying). The difficult part is making it maintainable by using best practices and AI can do that today. We are only a few years away from AI being able to make a Reddit clone on its own. A few years after that AI will be able to make one virtually free of bugs, scaling challenges, and security vulnerabilities.

Fortunately after AI takes over the “simple tasks”, software engineers will be left with more challenging tasks like making sure what AI is doing is what is best for us and how to make outcomes less predictable and thus less easily gamed.

That’s only because the BMW iX2 isn’t out yet. BMW is set to sell hundreds.