Submitted by exploremore617 t3_119ep0l in Maine
[deleted] t1_j9luw96 wrote
Reply to comment by Guygan in CMP and Spectrum Outages by exploremore617
You could easily give some kind of indication of how these things typically go, you're just being an ass for the sake of it.
lantech t1_j9lwbsd wrote
> Some major storms have zero outages. A minor dusting can send some truck into a pole and take out service for a day.
That's how it typically goes. Much as I hate to say it, guygan is right.
[deleted] t1_j9ly3j6 wrote
Yes but by that logic if someone asks you "what is someone in the US's life expectancy" then you can just say "oh no way of knowing a meteor could hit you on the head anytime impossible to tell"
It's not, the information is out there and we have an idea of how this shit goes.
vikingenvy t1_j9m0we0 wrote
Why don’t you fucking get off your own ass and answer the OP’s question? You’re spending more time bitching about people rolling their eyes at this stupid question than in doing something yourself. FFS hahaha what a scrotum
Guygan t1_j9lv64a wrote
> You could easily give some kind of indication of how these things typically go
No, I can’t easily do that. Because it’s not predictable and it “typically” doesn’t go any typical way.
[deleted] t1_j9lvbw8 wrote
You can unless you're an idiot.
Guygan t1_j9lwcsa wrote
> You can unless you’re an idiot
Please enlighten us as to how non-idiots can accurately predict internet outages in and entire city of 20,000 residents.
[deleted] t1_j9lxvku wrote
You're in another comment telling this guy historical data is irrelevant - you should tell all the meteorologists who use historical data to try to predict that exact thing. You're being obtuse.
Guygan t1_j9ly4pu wrote
Historical data isn’t used for weather forecasts. Current data and computer models are.
[deleted] t1_j9lyerx wrote
It's used to predict power outages homie.
"When storm patterns look like this with a combination of wind, temperature and recent climate, we can expect 30k-50k outages" or whatever. Happens all the time.
NetLibrarian t1_j9lyxfp wrote
Yeah? Give us a link to one then.
[deleted] t1_j9mu5bm wrote
Ok - here ya go
It's almost like even though it's hard to predict with 100% accuracy, we're still able to use what we know about past events to give us a more accurate idea of what might happen
"Obviously, 65 mph or even 70 mph is a big number, but it's important to keep in mind these are GUSTS not sustained winds. So, no, this is not "hurricane-force" wind. Category 1 Hurricanes have SUSTAINED winds of 74 mph. Big difference. (Sorry, pet peeve). In addition, we don't have any leaves on the trees and there is snowpack on the ground in a lot of places, which helps us when it comes to power outages.
That being said, I expect a lot of outages from this event. It's just too much wind and it's out of the southeast, which hasn't historically been a kind wind direction for Maine."
NetLibrarian t1_j9mv67x wrote
So after busting everyone's balls for being unspecific, you're hauling out "A lot of outages" as a sufficient answer?
I think you know just where you can cram it, buddy.
Guygan t1_j9lzanl wrote
Well then ask the people who make those predictions.
OP asked for first hand experience. I gave mine.
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