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1

Rotlam t1_j5v1k98 wrote

The country is Morocco, there’s a big famous train too

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GeekSumsMe t1_j5vfh7b wrote

This is the answer.

The ironic part of all of this is that many of our waters are degraded due to excess nutrients, particularly P.

A major source is human poop.

Waste water treatment plants have the tech to remove P, but are resistant due to initial infrastructure costs.

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Rotlam t1_j5vgcdl wrote

I actually don’t think they ever would, Morocco was the first country to acknowledge America’s independence, their people love the king, and they even sent artisans to Disney to build out their part of Epcot (? I’ve never been, Disney at least)

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utahwebfoot t1_j5vgqzq wrote

Full disclosure, I didn't totally ingest the article, but rather scanned it. However, I would be curious as to how using phosphorus as fertilizer impacts the snow pack. I could see how the snow pack, during the spring months and thawing, seeps into the ground and through the fertilizer to potentially impact ground water. However, the article said that production of phosphorus impacted snow pack and not the other way around.

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Sanpaku t1_j5vn48x wrote

If we don't start recycling that poop to fertilize crops, or learn how to cost-effectively extract P from seawater, we have at best a few centuries of global populations that number in the billions.

How's this for euphemism:

>Fig. 1 shows the predicted global population passing through 7 billion in 2010 and shortly after peaking at 7.3 billion. It can be seen that after the peak, the population will sink down to a level of 5.5–4 billion people for as long as the low grade (1800–2250) and ultra low grade (1800–3300) deposits can be mined. High- grade reserves run out in 2040, low grade reserves run out around 2340 and the ultra low grades around 3100 AD. After 3100, the only market available P will be that recycled. The peak behaviour is evident, production from high-grade reserves occurs 1960– 2050, from low grade ore 2080–2220, and ultra low grade ore 2300–3600. When all of these are exhausted, a food-based population reduction will follow.

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HalcyonKnights t1_j5vn7uy wrote

As of 2019 the US was the 3rd largest Phosphorus Exporter, (way) behind Vietnam and Kazakhstan. We have so much Phosphate we also use it to hyper-age our Chickens, nevermind crop farming. Granted a lot of that comes from open pits mines in areas that were seafloor few hundred million years ago, so it's definitely "Non-renewable".

https://wits.worldbank.org/trade/comtrade/en/country/ALL/year/2019/tradeflow/Exports/partner/WLD/product/280470

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mad_drop_gek t1_j5wdwol wrote

There's a multitude of shortages coming up in the coming decades, from water, to fertilizers, to minerals, to mineral carbon and even radioactives. Climate change is a eufemism for humans exhausting a finite resource.

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CMC04 t1_j5wotwp wrote

After carefully examining the region, The U.S government has decided that Morocco is definitely right for a regime change..

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AftyOfTheUK t1_j5wx30y wrote

>If we don't start recycling that poop to fertilize crops, or learn how to cost-effectively extract P from seawater, we have at best a few centuries of global populations that number in the billions.

A few centuries? Like... four?

Technology marches on, progress gets ever faster. We're advancing our capabilities so much more rapidly today than we did in 1623.

Here were some things people didn't know, or didn't know how to do in 1623:

  • Explain gravity
  • Measure temperature or air pressure
  • Pendulum clocks
  • Design or build an engine
  • Measure latitude with a sextant
  • Fly in a hot air balloon. Or plane.
  • Take photographs
  • Make propellors

That gets us about halfway to the present.

Now, think of everything invented since then.

And consider progress is increasing.

Being worried about any problems that will occur multiple centuries from now (and are not growing/lagging issues like climate change) is literally crazy.

Will they work out how to cost-effectively harvest phosphorous from human poop before 2450? Yes. And if by some miracle they have not, they'll do it expensively.

8

Dumguy1214 t1_j5x91gg wrote

with no ground water and this, I dont envy the kids in the future

1

Girafferage t1_j5xgg52 wrote

We already are recycling human waste to fertilize crops. It's actually kind of a problem because the drugs people take also go with that waste into the fertilizer and end up in people's food.

It's literally the only reason I buy organic for vegetables that grow underground or on the ground. Organic foods cannot be grown with fertilizer from human waste.

2

Mr_Mouthbreather t1_j5xhmdy wrote

Not sure how true this is, but I watched something on YouTube about how if the ecology of the soil is right you don't need to worry about its mineral content because all of the worms, microbes, and fungi are constantly breaking down the sand and rocks releasing all the minerals plants would need.

2

GeekSumsMe t1_j5xjky3 wrote

Yes, this is an issue with respect to biosolids (human poop compost). It is not an issue when the P is harvested more directly. Look up struvite harvesting via waste water treatment in Google Scholar. The science is interesting and the tech is there.

3

GeekSumsMe t1_j5xk1pe wrote

My point was that we are needlessly polluting our water bodies when we could be capturing the pollutant and putting it to beneficial use.

The pollution caused by P (and N) is the most urgent need. The ability to benefit is a secondary and important benefit.

About half of the rivers and streams cannot support the amount of nutrients that we deliver and this is a problem that continues to get worse.

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Uptown-Dog t1_j5xna2x wrote

There are plenty of other countries in similar situations, most of them continue to languish as third world hellscapes indefinitely. Neo-colonialism is a sophisticated game, it doesn't always require visible military intervention, rather far more carefully nurtured and calibrated corruption and puppeteering (although the odd assassination obviously has its place in their playbook). I would assume that the Feedom you're referring to is either going well and good within Morocco right now, or the seeds for it have been planted. People lose sight of just how sophisticated a game first world nations run.

4

Deleena24 t1_j5y2r7c wrote

Yes, basically. The bigger the ball the more the trampoline sags/warps, and the closer to the ball the deeper the warp (the closer to the object the more influence/strength it's gravity has.

Except the trampoline would exist in every direction instead of a flat plane.

2

mad_drop_gek t1_j5y7pdo wrote

You're welcome. The biggest issue is that humanity can only handle one existential crisis at a time, and badly at that. Even the results of climate change, now they become clear, will be a multitude of issues. On top of it scarcity will hit on many levels, needing solutions that we don't have. We have too much nitrous in the wrong place, and not enough in the right place. What little phosphor we have is being washed into the ocean. Whole counties are running out of water. Gas shortages in Europe last year shows how dependent we are of a resource we know we shouldn't use. This has far reaching impacts in our food supply chain, from fertilizer production to glass agriculture to coffee roasting. We're undecided whether we need to build more nuclear power, while that is based of a finite resource. More longterm solutions like thorium/molten salt, and fusion, are still 30 to 50 years down the road to become commercially viable. We're running out of options here, and there's still so many people stuck in the bystander effect, or plain denial..

2

8to24 t1_j5y8f3z wrote

There are numerous types of sea grass and seaweed that are edible. They contain too many heavy minerals at the moment to be eaten in large quantities (replace of grain). It is a challenge that needs more attention. When we can develop crops that grow in seawater it will solve the problems traditional farm faces (draught, fertilizer, land, etc).

1

Chrisf1020 t1_j5y9c00 wrote

Here is a link for struvite harvesting. The process is very energy intensive: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0921344919303246

On the subject of biosolids reuse: Last year, Maine became the first state to ban the land application of biosolids —— not due to pharmaceuticals and personal care products (PPCP), on which little research has been done, but due to per- and poly-fluorinated alkyl substances (PFAS) a.k.a. “forever chemicals”. This should be your main concern regarding the reuse of biosolids for agriculture, as PFAS bioaccumulate in your body.

2

Girafferage t1_j5y9zqs wrote

It would be, except there isn't rain anywhere on the entire planet that doesn't already contain dangerous levels of it. And eating 1 wild caught fish is just as bad as a month of drinking contaminated water.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2022/08/13/rainwater-unsafe-drink-pfas-chemicals-study/10317424002/

https://phys.org/news/2023-01-wild-fish-month-tainted.html

Good on Maine though for actually trying to do something at least. We really need a system to remove them from the environment at this point, and maybe hold the companies that made these chemicals and knew about these negative effects accountable. There haven't been a ton of study's on the pharmaceuticals in waste fertilizer from humans, but the ones that have checked the contents of different brands aren't optimistic. Dangerous levels of a multitude of drugs, some that women aren't even supposed to handle period.

2

jillanco t1_j5ycirt wrote

The solution is going back to how farming had been done for thousands of years without the use of chemical fertilizers. Return to the earth the nutrients that get taken out of it during harvest. In other words use compost.

1

Chrisf1020 t1_j5yiyc2 wrote

>It would be, except there isn't rain anywhere on the entire planet that doesn't already contain dangerous levels of it.

Just because it is already everywhere, doesn’t mean it is less dangerous/concerning than PPCP (though it obviously doesn’t mean the contrary, either. Need more research). Keep in mind that the bar for ‘dangerous’ has been lowered so significantly that all water on the planet is basically guaranteed to contain dangerous levels of PFAS at this point. One of your linked articles mentioned it, but last year the EPA also set new health advisories for the two most common PFAS (PFOA and PFOS) at unconscionably low levels: 0.004 ppt for PFOA and 0.02 ppt for PFOS. These values take into account lifetime exposure and bioaccumulation. The previous advisory was 70 ppt for both, so the new advisories are 17,500x and 3500x more strict, respectively. EPA considers these levels “near zero” and admits they are “below EPA’s ability to detect at this time,” meaning the safe level of consumption for those two chemicals is practically zero.

>Good on Maine though for actually trying to do something at least. We really need a system to remove them from the environment at this point, and maybe hold the companies that made these chemicals and knew about these negative effects accountable.

Thermal destruction seems to be the most promising at the moment. Carbon-Fluorine bonds are very hard to break. It requires temperatures around 1000 °C, so very energy intensive. Time and turbulence are also factors in destruction. Typical sewage sludge incinerators (most sludge is incinerated in my state) do not reach these temperatures, however.

>There haven't been a ton of study's on the pharmaceuticals in waste fertilizer from humans, but the ones that have checked the contents of different brands aren't optimistic. Dangerous levels of a multitude of drugs, some that women aren't even supposed to handle period.

I’d be interested to read those PPCP fertilizer studies if you have links. I work in the wastewater industry if that wasn’t already obvious, so I’m always trying to learn more.

2

TheLostHippos t1_j5yn8vp wrote

We are already finding incredible uses for human waste that may be able to provide many sources of food and nutrients.

There's the classic nightsoil method of using untreated human fertilizer but we've started developing new technologies to turn human excrement into both biogas and treated fertilizer!

Then there are other plans like letting Black Soldier Fly Larva eat human excrement and then turning them into a protein rich food source for animals.

2

TK-741 t1_j5yr50y wrote

“Have the tech” is a bit of a misnomer.

It costs billions of dollars to make marginal improvements in P removal. Financially it makes more sense to pay farmers to employ more sustainable fertilizer application practices.

Even then, excess P in groundwaters is going to lead to persistent problems for decades to come even if we stopped all new discharge of P from point and non-point sources.

A wicked problem if ever there were one.

1

pickled_ricks t1_j5z2nap wrote

And we are reliant on Russia for 1/2 the worlds Potash, enslaving India to them and polluting the world at the same time with some of the worst practices to produce it. Under republican leadership in 2000-2008 US production dropped substantially making Canada responsible for the other half of the worlds Potash, to benefit Russia. When Bush called Putin Pootie so famously, was exactly when the Potash Stand downs occured. Throughout history, wars have been won with the control of Potash.

1

blovetopia t1_j5zin6n wrote

This and we need to be growing a more diverse crop in general. This country used to be covered in mature forests with Chestunut trees delivering tons of starchy calories. Now we rely on annual crops of wheat, corn, soy, etc for that. Beyond their need for offsite sources of nutrients, these crops are often farmed with mechanical tillage. This has caused massive amounts of topsoil erosion and led to the encouragement of no-till farming methods.

1

Hmm_would_bang t1_j604qad wrote

Some of these shortages likely won’t be a massive issue. You can look to israel for saltwater treatment, they figured it out because they couldn’t be dependent on their neighbors not damming their fresh water sources.

It’s inevitable this investment eventually comes to the American southwest, and eventually spreads out through humanitarian efforts to developing nations experiencing drought.

Similarly, several other people in this thread have discussed the alternatives to modern fertilization.

In fact almost all of the issues with shortages likely won’t be a big problem has they have known alternatives in place. The cost/benefit from a strictly financial perspective just isn’t there yet to implement them. And as a result our natural resources continue to suffer

1

mad_drop_gek t1_j605jr9 wrote

Do you have any idea how much energy that desalination process costs? It is not a long term solution, unless energy all of a sudden becomes abundant. On top of that, explain that to any landlocked country, with no saltwater access. The deep and dark valley most of the developing world will need to crawl through will be horrendous.

1

ThMogget t1_j61bdg9 wrote

It won’t go away? Have you considered that precision fermentation and cellular ag are likely to replace most animal agriculture? That will make a reduction in fertilizers needed.

1