Submitted by CertainMiddle2382 t3_10qow6b in singularity
How long will it take? Is it even unavoidable? Can we have AGI without Singularity?
AI pre AGI is now, we see the disruptions coming in some parts of society.
If we achieve AGI where will the impacts be? In other parts of society? Or will it just be more of the same?
Could we stagnate there with AGI but some other things restraining further progress?
Or in other terms, what challenges will AGI need to overcome first to be able to self improve?
just-a-dreamer- t1_j6rfu75 wrote
I forsee a dramatic expansion of government in the short term as companies lay off workers
As an example, in 1930 only 10% of farms in the USA had electricity, let alone running water. It was not profitable to deliever services to rural areas
Around 1940 80% of farms had electricity. So what happened? Public work programs used the unemployed to do construction and conservation projects all across the USA
AI automation will see dramatic rise of unemployment in the private sector, yet jobs will be made up in public works I think. Anything down to dog attendant.
It will take time to figure out that it makes no sense at all to force people to work when there is no work left to be done.