Yep, sounds right to me. I’ve been an employed developer for 10+ years, I’ll have work in the near future, sure. But I see what’s coming. And it’s possible that timeline is shorter than I realize. The people that think it won’t impact them are fooling themselves.

One prediction that stuck with me is this. Rather than huge layoffs in a short amount of time, we’ll see a 2% workforce reduction each year moving forward, and it won’t bounce back. That’s the most likely estimate I’ve heard so far.