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Unknownirish t1_j1lxzms wrote

agreed. plus what the fed is really looking for, and this is going pass the 2 percent inflation, is an average of PCE. So far we are heading down, which is good. Don't expect rate cuts well into 2025, expect a hold on 5% rates

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Hacking_the_Gibson t1_j1m1w2o wrote

Something will break long before 2025.

My guess is Q2 2023 at this pace.

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Unknownirish t1_j1m589x wrote

Ukraine? Perhaps Taiwan? Or North Korea? Or, this will catch everyone off guard, Japan?

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ElectronicReference5 t1_j1m5ib1 wrote

Nuke drop on Ukraine

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Unknownirish t1_j1m5n6u wrote

Personally, I don't see it that happening but in case it does: RemindMe! 4 months

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ElectronicReference5 t1_j26fgia wrote

If Covid lockdown doesn’t happen best believe it’s the bombing of Ukraine. I’ll place a bigger bet on the nuke happening.

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Unknownirish t1_j26j1gu wrote

I don't think that'll be the case, but then again I was wrong with I didn't think Putin would invade Ukraine. He did.

Hard to know.

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